USD/CAD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3133; (P) 1.3196; (R1) 1.3232;
USD/CAD lost upside momentum again after hitting 1.3258 and intraday bias is turned neutral. We’d holding on to the bullish view that pull back from 1.3385 has completed at 1.3063 already. And another rally should be seen. On the upside, above 1.3258 will target a test on 1.3385 high first. Break there will resume whole rally from 1.2061 for 1.3685 fibonacci level. In case of another fall, we’d still expect strong support from 1.3067 resistance turned support to contain downside.
In the bigger picture, as long as channel support (now at 1.2870) holds, we’ll holding to the bullish view. That is, fall from 1.4689 (2015 high) has completed at 1.2061, ahead of 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2015 high) at 1.2048. Further rally should be seen for 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3685 and above. However, sustained break of the channel support will argue that rise from 1.2061 has completed and will bring deeper fall to 1.2526 support to confirm.
USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.64; (P) 112.89; (R1) 113.09;
Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 113.13 temporary top. But near term outlook stays bullish with 112.21 support intact. Current rally from 104.62 should target 61.8% projection of 104.62 to 111.39 from 109.36 at 113.54 first. Break will put focus on 114.73 key resistance for confirming our bullish medium term view. On the downside, break of 112.21 support however, will indicate short term topping and bring deeper pull back to 111.39 resistance turned support.
In the bigger picture, current development, with the solid break of medium term channel resistance from 118.65 (2016 high), affirm our view that corrective fall from there has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will now be the preferred case as long as 119.36 support holds.
