USD/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9963; (P) 0.9990; (R1) 1.0026;
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside with 0.9955 minor support intact. Current rise should target 1.0067 resistance next. Decisive break there will confirm resumption of larger rise from 0.9186 and should target 1.0342 key resistance next. On the downside, below 0.9955 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.9848 support holds.
In the bigger picture, the pullback from 1.0067 has completed at 0.9541 already. And rise from 0.9186 is likely resuming. Firm break of 1.0067 will pave the way to retest 1.0342 key resistance. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside to bring another medium term fall to extend long term range trading.
GBP/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2770; (P) 1.2845; (R1) 1.2893;
Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside as fall from 1.3297 is in progress. Break of 1.2784 will target 1.2661 low next. Decisive break of 1.2661 will resume larger down trend from 1.4376. On the upside, break of 1.2919 minor resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain mildly bearish even in case of recovery.
In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA. The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend. And this will be the preferred case as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2661 at 1.3316 holds. However, firm break of 1.3316 would bring stronger rebound to 61.8% retracement at 1.3721. And, the eventual depth of the fall from 1.4376, and the chance of hitting 1.1946 low, will depend on the strength of the interim corrective rebound from 1.2661.
