USD/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9899; (P) 0.9925; (R1) 0.9942;
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as it’s bounded in range above 0.9900 temporary low. For now, with 0.9957 minor resistance intact, further decline is mildly in favor. Below 0.9900 will target 0.9856 support. Break there will pave the way to key support level at 0.9787. On the upside, above 0.9957 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.0067.
In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9787 support holds, we’re still favoring the bullish case. That is, rise fro 0.9787 is resuming the whole up trend from 0.9186 and should target 1.0342 key resistance on resumption. However, break of 0.9787 will indicate medium term reversal and turn outlook bearish.
GBP/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3149; (P) 1.3175; (R1) 1.3217;
Intraday bias in GBP/USD is mildly on the upside as rebound from 1.2956 is extending. Nonetheless, as it’s seen as a corrective move, upside should be limited below 1.3362 resistance to bring fall resumption eventually. On the downside, below 1.3070 minor support will bring retest of 1.2956 first. Break of 1.2956 low will resume the decline from 1.4376 to 1.2874 fibonacci level.
In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4179). Fall from 1.4376 should extend to 61.8% retracement of 1.1946 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.2874 next. Decisive break of 1.2874 will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption through 1.1946 low. On the upside, break of 1.3362 resistance is needed to be the first indication of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of strong rebound.
