USD/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9905; (P) 0.9924; (R1) 0.9947;
Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. Another fall is mildly in favor as long as 0.9957 minor resistance holds. Below 0.9900 will target 0.9856 support. Break there will pave the way to key support level at 0.9787. On the upside, above 0.9957 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.0067.
In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9787 support holds, we’re still favoring the bullish case. That is, rise fro 0.9787 is resuming the whole up trend from 0.9186 and should target 1.0342 key resistance on resumption. However, break of 0.9787 will indicate medium term reversal and turn outlook bearish.
GBP/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3069; (P) 1.3114; (R1) 1.3145;
GBP/USD was rejected by 4 hour 55 EMA and retreated. But it’s staying in consolidation from 1.2956. Intraday bias stays neutral first. In case of another rise, upside should be limited below 1.3362 resistance to bring fall resumption eventually. On the downside, break of 1.2956 will resume the decline from 1.4376 to 1.2874 fibonacci level.
In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA (now at 1.4179). Fall from 1.4376 should extend to 61.8% retracement of 1.1946 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.2874 next. Decisive break of 1.2874 will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption through 1.1946 low. On the upside, break of 1.3362 resistance is needed to be the first indication of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of strong rebound.
