USD/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9859; (P) 0.9890; (R1) 0.9908;
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation below 0.9919 temporary top. Deeper retreat could be seen after hitting 0.9900 fibonacci resistance. But downside should be contained above 0.9648 resistance turned support and bring another rally. Above 0.9919 will target 1.0037 resistance next.
In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 0.9648 resistance turned support holds, even in case of pull back.
GBP/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3703; (P) 1.3819; (R1) 1.3891;
Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside as fall from 1.4376 is in progress. Deeper decline would be seen to 1.3711 key support level next. Decisive break there should confirm medium term reversal and target 1.3448 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 1.3835 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.
In the bigger picture, bearish divergence condition in daily MACD is raising the chance of medium term reversal. Also, note that GBP/USD has just failed to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 1.4257) again. Focus is back on 1.3711 support. Firm break there will confirm medium term reversal and target 38.2% retracement of 1.1936 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.3448 first. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.2874 and below. For now, sustained break of 55 month EMA is needed to confirm medium term upside momentum. Otherwise, we won’t turn bullish even in case of strong rebound.
