USD/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9571; (P) 0.9604; (R1) 0.9631
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as it’s staying in range of 0.9533/9648. On the downside, break of 0.9533 minor support should indicate rejection by 0.9626 key fibonacci resistance. Intraday bias would then be turned to the downside side for 0.9432 support. Further break there will turn near term outlook bearish for retesting 0.9186 low. On the upside, sustained trading above 0.9626 will be another evidence of larger reversal. In that case, further rally should be seen back to next fibonacci level at 0.9900.
In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is seen as a medium term down trend. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 (2016 high) to 0.9186 (2018 low) at 0.9626. Sustained break there will add to the case of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9900 and above. However, rejection from 0.9626 will maintain medium term bearishness for another low below 0.9186.
EUR/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2335; (P) 1.2364 (R1) 1.2408
Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral with focus on 1.2396 resistance. Break there will resume the rise from 1.2214. IN that case, EUR/USD will likely surge through 1.2475 to 1.2516/2555 key resistance zone. On the downside, break of 1.2302 minor support will indicate completion of the rebound from 1.2214. Intraday bias would be turned back to the downside for 1.2214. Firm break there will revive the bearish case of trend reversal.
In the bigger picture, key fibonacci level at 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 remains intact despite attempts to break. Hence, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Rejection from 1.2516 will maintain long term bearish outlook and keep the case for retesting 1.0039 alive. Firm break of 1.1553 support will add more medium term bearishness. However, sustained break of 1.2516 will carry larger bullish implication and target 61.8% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.3862 in medium term.
