USD/CAD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2935; (P) 1.2954; (R1) 1.2973;
Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as it’s staying in range of 1.2883/2975. At this point, we’re staying bullish in USD/CAD and expect whole rise from 1.2061 to continue. On the upside, above 1.2975 support turned resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3063 first. Break will target 1.3225 key near term resistance. However, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3385 at 1.2879 will dampen our view and target 50% retracement at 1.2723 next.
In the bigger picture, focus is back on 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3385 at 1.2879 key fibonacci level. As long as it holds, rise from 2017 low at 1.2061 is still in progress. Break of 1.3384 should target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2015 high) to 1.2061 (2017 low) at 1.3685. However, sustained break of 1.2879 will dampen his bullish view and turn focus back to 61.8% retracement at 1.2567, which is close to 1.2526 support.
USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.81; (P) 112.89; (R1) 113.06;
Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays on the upside for 113.17 resistance first. Decisive break there will resume whole rally from 104.62 and target 114.73 resistance next. On the downside, below 112.39 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But near term outlook will remain cautiously bullish as long as 111.82 resistance turned support holds.
In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.36 will mix up the outlook again. And deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 107.88 and below.
