USD/CAD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3012; (P) 1.3031; (R1) 1.3061;
USD/CAD is staying in tight range above 1.2975 and intraday bias remains neutral. Outlook is unchanged that corrective fall from 1.3385 has completed at 1.2886 already. On the upside, above 1.3077 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3225 resistance first. Break will reaffirm our bullish view and target 1.3385 high. On the downside, in case of another fall, downside should be contained above 1.2886 to bring rebound.
In the bigger picture, strong rebound ahead of 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3385 at 1.2879 key fibonacci level retains medium term bullishness. That is, rise from 2017 low at 1.2061 is still in progress. Break of 1.3384 should target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2015 high) to 1.2061 (2017 low) at 1.3685. On the downside, as long as 1.2886 support holds, outlook will now remain bullish.
USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 111.70; (P) 111.92; (R1) 112.07;
Despite a brief retreat, outlook in USD/JPY is unchanged and further rise is expected. Current rebound from 109.76 should target 100% projection of 109.76 to 111.82 from 110.37 at 112.43 first. Break will target a test on 113.17 high. On the downside, break of 111.10, however, will argue that the rebound is completed. And intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 110.37 support.
In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.36 will mix up the outlook again. And deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 107.88 and below.
