USD/CAD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3082; (P) 1.3100; (R1) 1.3128;
USD/CAD is staying in range of 1.3048/3170 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 1.3170 target 1.3225 key near term resistance. Break will confirm completion of choppy fall from 1.3385 and target a retest on this high. Though, break of 1.3048 will turn focus to 1.2969 support. Firm break there will indicate completion of whole rebound from 1.2781. In that case, whole fall from 1.3385 might extend through 1.2781 support before completion.
In the bigger picture, current development revives the case that corrective fall from 1.3385 has completed at 1.2781 already. And whole up trend from 1.2061 (2016 low) is ready to resume. Break of 1.3385 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2781 support holds.
USD/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0023; (P) 1.0046; (R1) 1.0069;
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as it’s staying in range of 0.9968/1.0094. On the upside, decisive break of 1.0094 as well ass 1.0067 key resistance will confirm resumption of larger rise from 0.9186 and should target 1.0342 key resistance next. On the downside, below 0.9968 will extend the correction from 1.0094 towards 0.9848 support next.
In the bigger picture, the pullback from 1.0067 has completed at 0.9541 already. And rise from 0.9186 is likely resuming. Firm break of 1.0067 will pave the way to retest 1.0342 key resistance. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside to bring another medium term fall to extend long term range trading. However, firm break of 0.9848 near term resistance will dampen this view and bring deeper decline back to 0.9541 support and possibly below.