USD/CAD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2946; (P) 1.3006; (R1) 1.3039;
USD/CAD’s pull back from 1.3225 resumed by breaking 2.1975. Intraday bias is back on the downside. For now, we’re holding on to the view that corrective fall from 1.3385 has completed at 1.2886 already. Hence, downside should be contained above 1.2886 to bring rebound. on the upside, break of 1.3063 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3225 first.
In the bigger picture, strong rebound ahead of 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3385 at 1.2879 key fibonacci level retains medium term bullishness. That is, rise from 2017 low at 1.2061 is still in progress. Break of 1.3384 should target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2015 high) to 1.2061 (2017 low) at 1.3685. On the downside, as long as 1.2886 support holds, outlook will now remain bullish.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1230; (P) 1.1246; (R1) 1.1271;
EUR/CHF recovers notably today but stays below 1.1342 minor resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Even in case of another fall, we’d continue to expect strong support from key support zone of 1.1154/98 to bring strong rebound. On the upside, above 1.1342 will target 1.1452 resistance first. Break should confirm that whole decline from 1.2004 has completed and target 1.1713 resistance next. However, sustained break of 1.1154/98 will carry larger bearish implications.
In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1207) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.
