GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.52; (P) 142.03; (R1) 142.73;
GBP/JPY's rebound from 139.29 resumed today by breaking 142.98. Focus is now back on 143.18 resistance. Decisive break there will indicate short term reversal. That's fall from 147.76 has completed at 139.29. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 147.76/148.42 resistance zone. Overall, price actions from 148.42 are seen as a sideway consolidation pattern. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 135.58 cluster support to bring rebound.
In the bigger picture, the sideway pattern from 148.42 is still unfolding. In case of deeper fall, we'd expect strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Medium term rise from 122.36 is expected to resume later. And break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. However, firm break of 135.58/39 will dampen the bullish view and turn focus back to 122.36 low.
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.26; (P) 129.96; (R1) 130.45;
Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 129.36 will turn bias to the downside for 127.55 support first. Firm break there will indicate near term reversal and deeper fall would be seen back to 122.39/125.80 support zone. In any case, we'd expect more corrective trading with risk of another fall, as long as 131.69 holds.
In the bigger picture, current rise from 109.03 is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds, further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, firm break of 124.08 will argue that rise from 109.03 is completed and turn outlook bearish.
