GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.06; (P) 147.60; (R1) 148.40;
GBP/JPY’s break of 148.10 resistance indicates resumption of rebound from 143.18. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 149.99 resistance. Current development argues that the decline from 156.59 has reversed. Break of 149.99 will affirm this case and target 153.84 resistance next. On the downside, though, below 146.79 minor support will mix up the near term outlook again and turn bias neutral.
In the bigger picture, no change in the view that decline from 156.59 is a corrective move. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen above 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 153.84 should confirm that the correction is completed and target 156.59 and above to resume the medium term up trend.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1611; (P) 1.1636; (R1) 1.1652;
Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as range trading continues. On the downside, break of 1.1599 minor support will suggest that rebound from 1.1478 is completed. And bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1478 and then a test on 1.1366 short term bottom. On the upside, firm break of 1.1656 will resume the corrective rise from 1.1366 to 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760. But we would expect strong resistance from there to limit upside.
In the bigger picture, EUR/CHF was solidly rejected by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Such correction is expected to extend for a while and therefore, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.
