EUR/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1343; (P) 1.1388; (R1) 1.1420;
Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside with 1.1432 minor resistance intact. Current fall from 1.1814 should extend to retest 1.1300 low. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. On the upside, above 1.1432 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will remain cautiously bearish as long as 1.1621 resistance holds.
In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1343; (P) 1.1380; (R1) 1.1407;
Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside with 1.1429 minor resistance intact. Corrective rise from 1.1173 could have completed at 1.1501 already. Deeper fall would be seen back to 1.1154/98 key support zone again. At this point, we’d still expect this key support zone to hold. On the upside, above 1.1429 minor resistance will turn focus back to 1.1501 first. But still, break there is needed to confirm rally resumption. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside even in case of strong recovery.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1234) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.
