EUR/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1424; (P) 1.1476; (R1) 1.1502;
EUR/USD’s fall from 1.1621 continues today and intraday bias remains on the downside for 1.1431. Break there will resume whole decline from 1.1814 and target 1.1300 low. On the upside, above 1.1527 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will remain mildly bearish as long as 1.1621 resistance holds.
In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1429; (P) 1.1456; (R1) 1.1474;
EUR/CHF is still bounded in consolidation below 1.1491 and intraday bias remains neural first. Further rally is expected as long as 1.1368 minor support holds. Above 1.1491 will target 1.1713 resistance for confirming bullish trend reversal. On the downside, however, break of 1.1368 minor support will argue that the rebound has completed and turn bias back to the downside for 1.1154/98 zone again.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1234) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.
