EUR/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1543; (P) 1.1571; (R1) 1.1623;
Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains mildly on the upside as rebound from 1.1431 is in progress, for 55 day EMA and above. But still, we’d expect upside to be limited by 1.1779/1814 resistance zone to bring down trend resumption eventually. On the downside, below 1.1534 minor support will turn bias back to the downside. Further break of 1.1431 will bring retest of 1.1300 low.
In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1412; (P) 1.1451; (R1) 1.1509;
EUR/CHF’s break of 1.1452 resistance affirms the case of bullish trend reversal after being support from 1.1154/98 zone. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 1.1713 resistance for confirmation. Break will target 1.2004 key resistance again. On the downside, break of 1.1368 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish in case of retreat.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1234) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.
