EUR/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1329; (P) 1.1388; (R1) 1.1423;
EUR/USD’s break of 1.1353 minor support argues that corrective rebound from 1.1302 has completed at 1.1499 already. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 1.1300 key support. Decisive break there will resume down trend from 1.2555 to 1.1186 fibonacci level next. On the upside, break of 1.1499 will resume the rebound from 1.1302 to 1.1621 resistance instead.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1300 is seen as a corrective pattern. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. In case the consolidation from 1.1300 extends, upside should be limited by 1.1814 and 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. to bring down trend resumption eventually.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1417; (P) 1.1444; (R1) 1.1460;
No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 1.1501 will revive the case of bullish reversal. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.1713 resistance next. On the downside, break of 1.1343 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.1154/98 key support zone.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1243) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.
