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Daily Currency Outlook: EUR/GBP And EUR/AUD : July 16,2018

Published 07/16/2018, 07:15 AM
Updated 03/09/2019, 08:30 AM
EUR/GBP
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EUR/AUD
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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8813; (P) 0.8841; (R1) 0.8856;

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. As long as 0.8808 minor support holds, further rise is mildly in favor. On the upside, break of 0.8901 will resume the rebound fro 0.8620 and target 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963). However, break of 0.8808 support will be the first sign that whole rebound from 0.8620 is completed. Deeper fall would then be seen to 0.8724 support for confirmation.

EUR/USD 4 Hour Chart

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5710; (P) 1.5742; (R1) 1.5772;

EUR/AUD is still bounded in range of 1.5696/5886 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Further rise is expected with 1.5695 support holds. On the upside break of 1.5886 will resume the rebound from 1.5271 and target a test on 1.6189 high. Nonetheless, the momentum and structure of such rise from 1.5271 are not too convincing. Break of 1.5696 will suggest near term reversal and turn bias to the downside for 1.5425 support for confirmation.

EUR/AUD 4 Hour Chart

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that fall from 1.6189 is a corrective move and has completed at 1.5217 already. Key support levels of 1.5153 and 38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6189 at 1.5209 were defended. And medium term rise from 1.3624 (2017 low) is still in progress. Break of 1.6189 will target 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high).

EUR/AUD Daily Chart

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