EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8743; (P) 0.8758; (R1) 0.8773;
Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral first with 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line. Further rise is expected as long as 0.8688 minor support holds. Break of 0.8797 will extend the rise from 0.8620 to key cluster resistance at 0.8967 (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963) next. On the downside, break of 0.8688 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn focus back to 0.8620 instead.
In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.
EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5998; (P) 1.6029; (R1) 1.6083;
Break of 1.6059 resistance suggests that pull back from 1.6189 has completed at 1.5773 already. More importantly, larger rise from 1.3624 is likely still in progress. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 1.6189 first. Firm break there will target 1.6587 key resistance. On the downside, below 1.5963 minor support will turn focus back to 1.5773 instead.
In the bigger picture, while there is bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, there is no clear sign of reversal yet. EUR/AUD also drew strong support from 55 day EMA and rebounded. Current rally from 1.3624 could still extend to 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Nonetheless, we’d expect further loss of upside momentum, and strong resistance from 1.6587 to limit upside and bring reversal.
