EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1721; (P) 1.1743; (R1) 1.1781;
A temporary low is formed at 1.1705 in EUR/CHF with the current recovery. Intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidations. Upside of recovery should be limited by 1.1864 support turned resistance to bring another decline. Below 1.1705 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.1445 to 1.2004 at 1.1659. Sustained break will target key support level at 1.1445.
In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, 1.2004 could be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Hence, for now, deeper fall could be seen back to 1.1445, which is close to 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1479. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound to extend the medium term corrective pattern.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8741; (P) 0.8763; (R1) 0.8800;
Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral for the moment. And near term outlook is a bit mixed. On the downside, break of 0.8679 support should confirm completion of the rebound form 0.8620. And intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for this support. Whole decline from 0.9305 will likely be resuming too. On the upside, above 0.8844 will resume the rebound from 0.8620 and target 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963).
In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.
