EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6022; (P) 1.6104; (R1) 1.6148;
EUR/AUD’s consolidation pattern from 1.6353 extends lower and hit 38.2% retracement of 1.5601 to 1.6353 at 1.6066. At this point, deeper decline could still be seen. But downside should be contained well above 1.5886 cluster support (61.8% retracement at 1.5888) to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 1.6172 minor resistance will bring retest of 1.6353 first. Break will resume larger up trend to 1.6587 key resistance level.
In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) is still in progress. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). Decisive break there will resume the long term rally and target 1.7488 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 1.5601 support is need to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of deep pull back.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8859; (P) 0.8882; (R1) 0.8903;
With 0.8935 minor resistance intact, deeper decline is expected in EUR/GBP for 61.8% retracement of 0.8620 to 0.9097 at 0.8802. But downside could be contained there and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.8935 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound back towards 0.9051 resistance.
In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term range pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). At this point, there is no clear sign of range break out yet. And more corrective trading would continue. On the upside, in case of another rise, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304/5 to limit upside in case of further rally. Meanwhile, if there is another medium term decline, strong support will likely be seen from 0.8303 to contain downside.
