EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6101; (P) 1.6218; (R1) 1.6279;
EUR/AUD’s consolidation pattern from 1.6353 extends with another fall leg. Intraday bias is mildly on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 1.5601 to 1.6353 at 1.6066. But downside should be contained well above 1.5886 cluster support (61.8% retracement at 1.5888) to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 1.6353 will resume larger up trend to 1.6587 key resistance level.
In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) is still in progress. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). Decisive break there will resume the long term rally and target 1.7488 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 1.5601 support is need to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of deep pull back.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8859; (P) 0.8884; (R1) 0.8900;
EUR/GBP’s decline from 0.9097 extends lower even though down side momentum is a bit unconvincing. As long as 0.8935 resistance holds, deeper fall is expected to 61.8% retracement of 0.8620 to 0.9097 at 0.8802. But downside could be contained there and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.8935 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.
In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term range pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). At this point, there is no clear sign of range break out yet. And more corrective trading would continue. On the upside, in case of another rise, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304/5 to limit upside in case of further rally. Meanwhile, if there is another medium term decline, strong support will likely be seen from 0.8303 to contain downside.
