EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5655; (P) 1.5742; (R1) 1.5791;
EUR/AUD’s break of 1.5742 temporary low confirms fall resumption. Intraday bias is back on the downside. As noted before, prior break of 1.5984 support is taken as an early sign of medium term trend reversal. Fall from 1.6357 should now target 1.5601 key support first. Decisive break there will pave the way to 1.5271/5313 cluster support zone next. On the upside, break of 1.5853 minor resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.
In the bigger picture, current development argues that up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) is possibly completed at 1.6357, ahead of 1.6587 (2015 high). This is supported by bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper decline is now in favor to 1.5271 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6357 at 1.5313). Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.4668. On the upside, break of 1.6357 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, risk will now stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8688; (P) 0.8719; (R1) 0.8734;
Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside. Current decline from 0.9098 should target 0.8620 support first. Break will target 100% projection o f0.9098 to 0.8722 from 0.8939 at 0.8563 next. On the upside, break of 0.8800 minor resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.
In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). On the downside, break of 0.8722 will extend the falling leg through 0.8620 support. On the upside, break of 0.9097 will target 0.9304 resistance instead.
