EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5827; (P) 1.5871; (R1) 1.5903;
With a temporary low in place at 1.5837, intraday bias in EUR/AUD is turned neutral first. No change in the view that price actions from 1.6189 are forming a corrective pattern. Below 1.5837 will target 1.5773 and below. But we’d expect strong support above 1.5621 to complete the pattern and bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.5966 support turned resistance will turn bias to the upside for 1.6139 resistance.
In the bigger picture, while there is bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, there is no clear sign of reversal yet. Current rally from 1.3624 could extend to 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Nonetheless, we’d expect further loss of upside momentum, and strong resistance from 1.6587 to limit upside and bring reversal. On the downside, sustained break of 1.5621 support should confirm reversal and turn outlook bearish for 1.5153 support and below.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8769; (P) 0.8803; (R1) 0.8828;
Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. Loss of momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD and the steep retreat from 0.8844 argues that rebound from 0.8620 might be completed. Break of 0.8760 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 0.8679. Break there will likely resume whole decline from 0.9305 through 0.8620 low. On the upside, above 0.8844 will revive near term bullishness for 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963).
In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.
