EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6003; (P) 1.6030; (R1) 1.6067;
No change in EUR/AUD’s outlook. Fall from 1.6139 is seen as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 1.6189. Deeper decline could be seen back to 1.5773 support, and possibly below. But downside should be contained above 1.5621 to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 1.6139 will target 1.6189 high again.
In the bigger picture, while there is bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, there is no clear sign of reversal yet. EUR/AUD also drew strong support from 55 day EMA and rebounded. Current rally from 1.3624 could still extend to 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Nonetheless, we’d expect further loss of upside momentum, and strong resistance from 1.6587 to limit upside and bring reversal. On the downside, sustained break of 1.5621 support should confirm reversal and turn outlook bearish for 1.5153 support and below.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8751; (P) 0.8788; (R1) 0.8812;
EUR/GBP retreated after hitting 0.8826 and intraday bias is turned neutral. On the upside, above 0.8826 will resume the rebound from 0.8620 and target 0.8967 cluster resistance next (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963). Firm break there will confirm neat term reversal. On the downside, below 0.8679 will turn bias to the downside for 0.8620 instead.
In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.
