EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5973; (P) 1.6002; (R1) 1.6041;
Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral with focus on 1.6059 resistance now. Break there will indicate completion of the pull back from 1.6189. And in that case, larger rise from 1.3624 is likely still in progress. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.6189 first. However, on the downside, below 1.5847 minor support will suggest that rebound form 1.5773 has completed and fall from 1.6189 is resuming. Intraday bias would be turned back to the downside for 1.5773 and then 1.5621 key support level next.
In the bigger picture, the case for medium term reversal is building up in EUR/AUD. Bearish divergence condition in daily MACD indicates further loss of upside momentum ahead of 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Break of 1.5621 should confirm medium term topping and bring deeper fall back to 1.5153 and possibly below. Meanwhile, even in case of up trend resumption, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.6587 to limit upside and bring reversal.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8738; (P) 0.8765; (R1) 0.8796;
Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the upside for the moment. short term bottom should be formed after hitting 61.8% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8745 from 0.8967 at 0.8621. Break of 0.8796 will pave the way to key cluster resistance at 0.8967 (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963) next. On the downside, break of 0.8688 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn focus back to 0.8620 instead.
In the bigger picture, for now, the decline from 0.9305 is seen as a leg inside the long term consolidation pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). Such consolidation pattern could extend further. Hence, in case of strong rally, we’d be cautious on strong resistance by 0.9304/5 to limit upside. Meanwhile, in another decline attempt, we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.
