AUD/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7408; (P) 0.7437; (R1) 0.7482;
AUD?USD is staying in range of 0.7309/7483 and intraday bias remains neutral. Consolidation from 0.7309 could extend further. And break of 0.7483 will bring stronger rebound. But in that case, upside should be limited below 0.7676 resistance to bring larger fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.7309 and sustained trading below 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326) will extend the fall from 0.8135 to 0.7158 support next.
In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move that should be completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.7676 resistance holds.
USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.63; (P) 111.01; (R1) 111.35;
Break of 110.74 temporary low indicates correction from 113.17 has resumed. Intraday bias is back to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 109.90. Strong support should be seen from 109.90 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 111.53 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 113.17 high first.
In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds.
