AUD/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7167; (P) 0.7213; (R1) 0.7244;
Intraday bias in AUD/USD is neutral for consolidation below 0.7258 temporary top. But with 0.7159 minor support intact, another rise is expected. Current development t argues that a medium term bottom might be in place at 0.7020. Firm break of 0.7314 resistance will confirm this bullish case and target 38.2% retracement of 0.8135 to 0.7020 at 0.7446 next. However, sustained break of 0.7159 will turn focus back to 0.7020 low instead.
In the bigger picture, as long as 0.7314 resistance holds, fall from 0.8135 is tentatively treated as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 key support next (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7314 will suggest that whole decline from 0.8135 has completed. And, the corrective pattern from 0.6826 (2016 low) is extending with another rising leg towards 0.8135 before completion.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1403; (P) 1.1429; (R1) 1.1453;
Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 1.1501 will revive the case of bullish reversal. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.1713 resistance next. On the downside, break of 1.1343 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.1154/98 key support zone.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1243) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.
