AUD/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7260; (P) 0.7321; (R1) 0.7355;
Intraday bias in AUD?USD remains on the downside for the moment. Current down trend from 0.8135 should extend to 61.8% projection of 0.7676 to 0.7309 from 0.7452 at 0.7225 first. Break will target 100% projection at 0.7085 next. On the upside, above 0.7322 minor resistance will turn intraday bias and bring consolidation. But recovery should be limited below 0.7452 resistance to bring fall resumption.
In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 (2016 low) is seen as a corrective move that should be completed at 0.8135. Sustained break of 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326) should pave the way to retest 0.6826. There is prospect of resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). But we’ll look at downside momentum to assess at a later stage. On the upside, break of 0.7452 resistance might indicate medium term bottoming. But we’ll continue to favor the bearish view as long as 0.7676 resistance holds.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1310; (P) 1.1389; (R1) 1.1438;
EUR/CHF’s decline extends to as low as 1.1285 so far today. 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1366 from 1.1713 at 1.1319 is already met but there is no sign of bottoming yet. Intraday bias stays on the downside for key support zone between 1.1154/98. On the upside, above 1.1371 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation. But recovery should be limited below 1.1489 support turned resistance to bring another fall.
In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone, 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1173) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend.
