AUD/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7542; (P) 0.7573; (R1) 0.7596;
With 0.7620 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside for 0.7500 key support level. Decisive break there will indicate medium term reversal and target 0.7328 support next. On the upside, above 0.7620 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But recovery should be limited below 0.7812 resistance to bring fall resumption.
In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed. In that case, AUD/USD would be heading back to 0.6826 low in medium term..
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1941; (P) 1.1969; (R1) 1.1983;
EUR/CHF is still bounded in consolidation pattern from 1.2004 temporary top. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, decisive break of 1.2 will pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.0629 to 1.1832 from 1.1445 at 1.2188. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.1888 will indicate short term topping. In that case, deeper pull back would be seen back to 1.1445/1832 support zone.
In the bigger picture, long term up trend in EUR/CHF is still in progress. Prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2003 was already met but there is no sign of reversal yet. As long as 1.1445 support holds, we’d expect the up trend to extend to 2013 high at 1.2649 next.
