Daily Analysis – Markets Shrug Off IMF’s Weak Global Outlook

Published 10/24/2011, 07:40 AM
Updated 05/14/2017, 06:45 AM
Equities

Asian markets traded mixed, following Monday’s sharp drop.  The Nikkei returned from a holiday to close down 1.6% as it caught up with the region’s losses from Monday.  The Kospi rose .9%, while the ASX 200 slid 1%, weighed down by miners.  China’s markets advanced, with the Shanghai Composite gaining .4% and the Hang Seng rising .5%.

European shares managed to rally, shrugging off a negative report by the IMF.  Germany’s DAX surged 2.9% to 5572, the CAC40 rose 1.5%, and the FTSE climbed 2%.  The IMF lowered its expectations for US, UK, and Eurozone growth for both 2011 and 2012.  On the sovereign debt front, S&P cut its rating on Italy’s debt by one notch.



DAX Rallies Nearly 3%

US markets reversed from early gains, to end mixed.  The Dow had been up 150 points for much of the day, but afternoon selling left it up just 8 points at 11409.  The Nasdaq fell .9% and the S&P 500 eased .2%.

Currencies

The Euro shook off early losses to close flat at 1.3683, while the Dollar traded mostly lower.  The Pound rose .3% to 1.5732, the Australian Dollar rallied .7% to 1.0250, and the Yen inched up .2% to 76.39.  Speculation that the Swiss National Bank might push the EURCHF exchange rate even higher than 1.20 pressure the Swiss Franc, which dropped .7% to .8884 against the Dollar and climbed to 1.22 against the Euro.

Economic Outlook

Housing starts came in slightly below expectations, but building permits were modestly above forecast, painting a mixed picture.

Wednesday’s focus will be the Fed’s FOMC statement in the mid-afternoon.  Also due on Wednesday are existing home sales, weekly mortgage applications, and weekly oil inventories,.

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