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Could Google Stock Keep Dropping Amid DoJ-Backed Chrome Sale Woes?

Published 11/22/2024, 01:10 AM
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In a bold move aimed at curbing Google’s dominance in the internet search and browser markets, the United States Department of Justice (DoJ) has proposed that the tech giant divest its Chrome browser in a recent court filing.

This proposal forms part of a broader strategy to dismantle what the DoJ perceives as Google’s illegal monopoly on internet search, a market where Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) holds a commanding 90% share. The initiative also suggests a five-year prohibition on Google re-entering the browser market and includes potential divestiture of the Android mobile operating system if initial proposals do not yield the desired competitive environment.

This legal maneuver follows a significant ruling in August 2024, where a federal judge found Google guilty of maintaining a monopoly over search services, compelling the DoJ to take further action to restore competition.

Legal and Market Implications of the DoJ’s Proposal to Sell Chrome

The DoJ’s recent filing outlines a comprehensive plan to address Google’s market dominance. Central to the proposal is the sale of Chrome, a browser that controls over 50% of the U.S. market and serves as a critical distribution channel for Google’s search engine.

By forcing Google to divest Chrome, the DoJ aims to open up opportunities for rivals and reduce the tech giant’s grip on essential distribution channels and partners. Furthermore, the proposal suggests blocking payments to third parties, such as Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), which makes Google the default search engine and allows publishers to restrict their data from being used in Google’s AI model training. The DoJ also advocates for making Google’s search index accessible to competitors.

These proposals, which Google’s president of global affairs has criticized as extreme and potentially damaging to U.S. technological leadership, will be reviewed by Judge Amit Mehta, with a hearing scheduled for April next year.

Chrome and Google’s Business Model

Google’s Chrome browser and Android operating system are integral to its business model, serving as significant channels for its search engine and advertising services. The potential divestiture of these assets could substantially impact Google’s revenue streams and alter its competitive landscape.

Google argues that the DoJ’s proposals could harm consumers and businesses by reducing innovation and increasing costs. The sale of Chrome alone could be valued at up to $20 billion, reflecting its importance to Google’s overall strategy. Additionally, the proposed prohibition on Google investing in or acquiring search rivals or related technologies could further constrain its growth prospects.

These measures aim to level the playing field and foster competition, but they also introduce considerable uncertainty for Google’s future business operations and strategic direction.

GOOG Stock Dips Amid Uncertainty

The uncertainty surrounding the DoJ’s legal proceedings and the potential divestiture of key assets has led to notable volatility in Google’s stock price.

Recently, Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Inc.’s (Google’s parent company) stock opened at $175.48 and dropped to a current price (9:55 AM EST) of $170.07, with a day low of $168.33. This movement reflects investor concerns over the long-term implications of increased competition and changes to Google’s business model.

Despite these fluctuations, analysts maintain a “Buy” recommendation for the stock, with a target mean price of $204.925, suggesting optimism about Google’s ability to navigate these challenges. However, the broader impact on Alphabet’s financial health and strategic direction remains critical for investors.

Alphabet Inc. boasts a substantial market capitalization of over $2 trillion, underscoring its financial strength and resilience. Key financial metrics include a trailing P/E of 22.56, a forward P/E of 18.97, and a healthy current ratio of 1.95, indicating strong liquidity.

Analysts have set a target high price of $225.0 for the stock, reflecting confidence in the company’s long-term growth prospects despite current challenges. The recommendation mean of 1.56667 further supports a positive outlook, although the short ratio of 2.4 suggests some level of caution.

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Neither the author, Tim Fries, nor this website, The Tokenist, provide financial advice. Please consult our website policy prior to making financial decisions.

This article was originally published on The Tokenist. Check out The Tokenist’s free newsletter, Five Minute Finance, for weekly analysis of the biggest trends in finance and technology.

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