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Corn And Ethanol Report 05/16/19

Published 05/16/2019, 12:20 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
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Acreage & Yields

Good Morning!

We start of the morning with Export Sales, Housing Starts & Permits and Jobless Claims at 7:30 A.M. followed buy the EIA Gas Storage at 9:30 A.M. On the Corn front we did not have a great close in yesterday’s open out-cry session, which could be attributed to profit taking on this weeks rally and maybe funds repositioning short positions selling rallies. One thing is for sure, you cannot dis the fundamental factors forever. We are forecasted for a warm spring day only to have more rains and the mercury dropping to the low 50s and high 40s. This is not a good thing ground temperatures way too cold for this time of year and way too much soil moisture. This will effect acres and yields in the future. In the overnight electronic session the July Corn is currently trading at 374 ½, which is 5 cents higher. The trading range has been 376 ½ to 368 ¾.

On the Ethanol front the June contract is currently trading at 1.340, which is .011 higher. The trading range has been 1.345 to 1.329. 7 contracts traded and Open Interest has dropped to 1,109 contracts. The market is currently showing 1 bid @ 1.339 and 2 offers @ 1.345.

On the Crude Oil front it is risk on as the Iranian situation is heating up as they escalate guerilla warfare on oil tankers and ships of free trade in the Straight of Hormuz. Spanish Navy frigate ESPS Mendez Nunez broke away from the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln and is carrier strike group as it entered the Straight yesterday. Iran is playing with dynamite and it may just blow up in their face. Globally supplies are tight. We have Option Expiration on June Crude Oil today, which should make the 1:30 P.M. close interesting. In the overnight electronic session the June Crude Oil is currently trading at 6288 which is 86 points higher. The trading range has been 6290 to 6208.

On the Natural Gas front we have the weekly EIA Gas Storage data and the Thomson Reuters poll with 16 analysts participating expect injections ranging from 93 bcf to 125 bcf with the average build of 104 bcf. This compares to the one-year build of 93 bcf and the five-year average increase of 88 bcf. In the overnight electronic session the June Natural Gas is currently trading at 2.608, which is .007 of a cent higher. The trading range has been 2.618 to 2.586.

Have a Great Trading Day!

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