Selloff or Market Correction? Either Way, Here's What to Do NextSee Overvalued Stocks

Commodities View: Soybeans Poised for Parabolic Run as Supply Fears Surge

Published 11/16/2023, 02:21 AM
ZS
-
DBA
-
SOYB
-

Brazil planted a record soybean crop only to see unusually dry and hot weather create concerns for the harvest.

Furthermore, Argentina had an extreme shortfall of soybean meal crops. SOYB-Monthly Chart

Meanwhile, the USDA numbers were bearish for corn and soybeans as U.S. crops came in larger than expected.

However, China bought around 3 MMT of soybeans or 110 million bushels from the U.S. last week, a volume that reportedly surprised the market. They added another 7.5 million bushels on Monday.

Meanwhile, the Teucrium Soybean Fund (NYSE:SOYB) saw a huge influx of investor money.

The monthly chart featured shows prices hovering around all-time highs.

In 2012 the high was 28.88. In July this year, SOYB made a new high at 29.43.

The sideways consolidation on this monthly chart suggests a move to 34-35 is possible.

The futures chart is also interesting.

Soybean Barchart

This is the January 2024 contract of Soybean Futures.

It is in a bullish phase, well above the 50 and 200-DMAs.

1360 is the closest support level to hold.

1385 is pivotal-above bullish, below more neutral until beans break below 1320-then give this a big never mind.

Over 1400 and then 1420?

This could then run the way of cattle, cocoa, orange juice, and most likely sugar: UP, way UP.

Naturally, on the heels of the supposed cooler CPI and PPI numbers, some havoc will be wreaked.

Most importantly, Invesco DBA will fly higher and the deflation talking heads will have well, beans on their face.

ETF Summary

  • S&P 500 (SPY) 450 clears see 465 Under 450 435 support
  • Russell 2000 (IWM) 181 resistance 174 support
  • Dow (DIA) 360 resistance 346 support
  • Nasdaq (QQQ) 388 must clear and 370 must hold
  • Regional banks (KRE) 45 big resistance
  • Semiconductors (SMH) 160-161 now pivotal support
  • Transportation (IYT) 235 support
  • Biotechnology (IBB) 120 pivotal
  • Retail (XRT) 65 resistance and 60 pivotal support

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.