🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

Coffee Getting Support From Funds

Published 01/03/2014, 02:09 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
As of this post coffee prices are higher by 4.44% with prices approaching previous resistance just below the 50-day MA (light blue line) that was challenged last week. Prices appear to be on the rise as money managers bought the dip this week when prices were trading near three weeks lows. I anticipate funds piling into coffee longs next week buying upwards of 10,000 contracts as they re-balance their positions at the start of this new year. That addition would raise open interest by almost 8%. Producing countries will likely cap this market from raging higher but I do think prices could gain an additional 5-10 cents from current trade especially if short covering plays out.
Coffee Futures
Trade ideas:
  • Long (1) in the money March $115 call for under $1800 and sell (2) March $125 calls for $525 per. You would collect just over $1000 and pay $1800 so out of pocket premium is $800 plus three transaction costs. I see a grind higher so you may be able to offset on higher trade or hold until expiration as I do not see future sustainable above $125 considering current supply and demand. The trade has 41 days and currently has a favorable delta of 13%.
  • Long May futures and sell an out of the money May call 1:1. Selling a $120 would give you just better than a $2000 cushion. You should pick up approximately 1/2 of the underlying move. 99 days until expiration and look for an exit if futures were to rally 5-10 cents rally in the coming weeks. Offset both legs at the same time.

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.