Citi Q4 Earnings Preview: Could the Report Push Stock Above Key Resistance?

Published 01/15/2025, 04:18 AM

Citigroup (NYSE:C) is a diversified financial services holding company that offers a wide range of financial products and services globally to consumers, corporations, governments, and institutions. It operates through five main segments:

  • Services: Includes Treasury and Trade Solutions for cash management and trade, along with Securities Services providing post-trade technologies and local expertise.
  • Markets: Offers sales and trading services in equities, foreign exchange, commodities, and risk management solutions for corporate, institutional, and public sector clients.
  • Banking: Comprises investment banking and advisory services for mergers, acquisitions, and corporate lending.
  • U.S. Personal Banking: Provides retail banking and co-branded credit cards.
  • Wealth: Serves high-net-worth clients and professional industries with banking, investment, and trust services.

CITI Q4 2024 reports earnings at 8 AM ET on Wednesday, Jan 15, 2025.

 

CITI Earnings Statistics from Q1 2015

EPS

1W % move post earnings

2W % move post earnings

1M % move post earnings

BEATS 38

-0.41%

0.49%

1.32%

MISSES 1

2.49%

-0.59%

9.44%

There have been 38 beats since Q1 2015 and 1 miss since Q1 2015.

Analyst Ratings

SOURCE

BUY

HOLD

SELL

Refinitiv

19

4

0

TipRanks

13

5

0

Earnings Expectations

Earnings Expectations

(Source: InvestingPro)

Financial Health History

Financial Health History

(Source: InvestingPro)

Citigroup Fair Value

Citigroup Inc. Fair Value

(Source: InvestingPro)

  • Citigroup's fair value as per the “Investing Pro” Model = $85.25 – the expected upside is 16%.
  • The 52-week market range is $51 to $74.
  • 20 analyst target is $84.49.

Technical Analysis Perspective:

  • Citigroup has been trading inside a large symmetrical triangle since January 2020 on weekly and monthly charts.
  • The triangle has a bullish as well as bearish tendency depending on the breakout.
  • C closed last Friday at $71.40, which is the highest weekly closing since October 18, 2021.
  • It looks like any positive earnings with good guidance can break the triangle to the upside, targeting $78/80 post earnings.
  • A rejection of $74/75 would pave the way for a sharp decline to $67/65.
  • A higher number of analysts are bullish about Citigroup.
  • If prices manage to trade above 80 then there is a lot of room to the upside in the long term.
  • Wells Fargo analysts wrote on Jan 3 that Citi stock could double in value in the next three years as profits surge, expenses moderate, and reorganization improves management accountability.

Citigroup Weekly Symmetrical Triangle Pattern:

CitiGroup Weekly Chart

C Seasonality Chart

Citi Seasonality Chart

  • Citi closes -1% lower in January 50% of the time since 2006.

Conclusion:

Citigroup has a triangle setup which can be bullish as well as bearish. Prudent strategy is to wait for the upside breakout or rejection of 74/75 obstacles.

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