Pattern
Main Trend: Up
Main Trend Top: 105.71 (05-02-08)
Main Trend Bottom: 100.02 (04-10-08)
Current Pattern: Closing Price Reversal Bottom 102.56 (05/12/08).
Price
105.71 Main Top 05-02-08
105.27 Gann Angle Down
104.84 Gann Angle Down
103.96 Gann Angle Down
103.84 Daily Close
102.87 50% Retracement
102.19 .618 Retracement
100.86 Gann Angle Up
100.72 50% Retracement
100.02 Main Bottom 04-10-08
Time
05-12-08 180 Day Bottom
05-14-08 180 Day Bottom
05-14-08 90 Day Bottom
05-26-08 180 Day Bottom
Analysis
The main trend is up. The USDJPY completed a 50% retracement of the 100.02 to 105.71 range on Monday. The subsequent rally made a minor daily closing price reversal bottom. The first upside objective of this rally is a retracement zone at 104.14 to 104.51. Down trending Gann angle resistance is at 103.96 and 104.84. There is no tight price cluster to sell off today. If the market is topping out, it usually stops rallying in the retracement zone to set up the secondary lower top.
Cycle work suggests a possible short-term top on May 14. A 180-day cycle from a top in November and a 90-day cycle top from February may stop a rally.