The USD CHF could fall considerably if the U.S. stock market falls today, At this time the stock market is susceptible to a decline because of weaker than expected Retail Sales and more financial institution write downs. These two factors add up to the possibility of a down move and market instability. This may cause investors to sell their stocks and seek the safety and shelter of the Swiss Franc.
This market posted a closing price reversal top at 1.0924 and confirmed it overnight. Look for sellers on a rally back to 1.0874 to 1.0885. The market has to stop in this zone to set up a successful test of the reversal top. A lower top formation would be a strong indication the market is topping.
Today's main influence will be the stock market.
PATTERN
Main Trend: Up
Main Trend Top: 1.1107 (02-13-08)
Main Trend Bottom: 1.0010 (07-15-08)
PRICE
1.1215 Gann Angle Down
1.1107 Main Trend Top (2-13-08)
1.0965 Weekly Gann Angle Down
1.0924 Closing Price Reversal Top (08-12-08)
1.0922 Overnight High
1.0865 .618 Retracement
1.0865 New York Close
1.0850 Gann Angle Up
1.0823 Overnight Low
1.0630 50% Retracement
1.0475 Weekly Gann Angle Up
1.0467 50% Retracement
1.0430 Gann Angle Up
1.0359 .618 Retracement
TIME
Aug 13 180-Day Cycle
Aug 14 180-Day Cycle