This week, the scorecard recommends buying JPY, AUD, SEK while selling EUR, GBP, CAD
Last week's JPY sell-off seems overdone according to the model and the scorecard recommends a long JPY position this week, even though most other indicators point in a different direction. With the exception of FX scores, all indicators currently favour a long AUD and SEK position. Notably, Australian and Swedish interest rates are the top-two performers among G10 currencies at the moment and despite decent gains versus USD last week in both currencies, the scorecard recommends being long AUD and SEK this week.
For the second consecutive week, the short basket this week consists of EUR, CAD and GBP. Compared to last week, the model is less negative on GBP due to last week's considerable decline in GBP/USD while the short EUR position is scaled up this week.
Last week's signals resulted in an 0.3% loss. The long JPY and CHF positions were expensive, while the short GBP position performed well.
Next scorecard signals will be sent out on March 18.
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