Following the 25bp cut by the RBA yesterday, the Aussie has been feeling it, losing about 100pips on an open to close basis. In the process, the pair formed a daily kumo break setup closing below the cloud for the first time since June this year. In addition to this, it also formed a medium tenkan-sen kijun-sen cross to the downside which further adds to the bearish picture. The chikou is not below the kumo, nor even entered it yet, so not in a full bear trend, but the pressure is on.
Ichimoku Wave Structure suggests we are in a possible Y-Wave in the 4th leg of it, so likely at least one more leg before a breakout. Kumo break traders can look for a rally to short around 1.0321 targeting the Sept. lows at 1.0175.
AUD/USD" title="AUD/USD" width="654" height="420">
Global Market Commentary:
The RBA cut rates by 25bp yesterday which sent the Aussie tumbling on the day. Housing prices also in the UK slumped printing a -1.4% number which is double the expectations at -.07%.
The main thing on investors minds is Spain requesting a bailout which is all but certain at this point as their banks were shown to be undercapitalized by almost €59B which I expect the actual number is about double that. If they request a full bailout, that should be a risk on event so expect the USD to lose ground in the process.
The Dow Jones closed down about 32pts while Gold trotted in place closing up about $.50
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AUD/USD: Bearish Picture
Published 10/03/2012, 02:54 AM
Updated 05/14/2017, 06:45 AM
AUD/USD: Bearish Picture
AUD/USD
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