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Dollar Outlook Bearish With Limited Correction

Published 02/12/2019, 11:04 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
EUR/USD
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GBP/USD
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USD/JPY
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USD/CHF
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AUD/USD
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EUR/JPY
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DX
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The dollar gains were pretty persistent. USD/JPY saw a Wave v at the 76.4% projection while EUR/USD only managed a 50% projection in the Wave v. That took USD/CHF higher to almost reach the high – but just 7 points below. As for the final Major, GBP/USD saw a 14.6% expansion at the low and therefore we should be heading lower in the dollar now.

The basic outlook is that the dollar is bearish, but I feel this will be a relatively limited correction due to GBP/USD. The only possible problem is that sometimes the follow-through is slightly stronger. What we shall need to look for is the Wave iii and where it falls. We also have a 30% Wave ii and that tends to suggest a Wave iv of over 50% - but perhaps it can see a 76.4% projection in Wave v. So, keep track of this pair because it should provide us with a reversal.

Most likely we’ll see EUR/JPY extending gains – but now with the balance between a bearish USD/JPY and bullish EUR/USD, it may provide a consolidation for a while.

The Aussie should see further gains but difficult to judge how high the Wave -b- will be. It also has its own way of doing things so we have to take care. However, we should see gains today.

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