Traders were moderately cautious with Asia down slightly. CNH is above 7 again, commodities and bonds are flattish, and currencies are around Friday's levels.
But the market remains extremely concerned about an escalation of cases outside of China which could continue hold back risk until there's a definitive sign the coronavirus transmission has slowed. And uncertainty about renewed/secondary outbreaks becomes obsolete.
USD/JPY and EUR/JPY are more or less unchanged from their Friday levels as Europe walks in as G-10 traders continue to keep things very tight.
There were some discussions today regarding the muted reaction across the G10, as the US dollar wasn't able to outperform despite relatively robust NFP data. Traders had priced in lofty expectations following the sharp increase in ADP private payrolls print earlier in the week, so the follow up was meek and US risk market was a bit wobbly heading into the weekend.
China starts to return to work after the extended Lunar New Year holiday. How quickly production resumes signals how much global supply chains are likely to be damaged
As such, there is a considerable reluctance to buy into growth FX and Asia stocks until it becomes clear what the economic fallout above and beyond just tourism is,.Specially until the disruptions to supply chains and to Chinese demand is better quantified
With that in mind, an air of economic uncertainty continued to cloud judgment. In the absence of any real data over the peak virus period, it's virtually impossible to gauge China's industrial temperature. Still, it's safe to assume things are bad, jut how bad remains the million-dollar question, however.