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Asia Wrap: USD, CNH, EUR, GBP And Huawei

Published 07/02/2019, 06:15 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
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The risk-on party has abated after the swath of negative PMI provided a not so subtle reminder to investors that yes we are in the midst of a global slow down.

Traders were playing the fade game today given the soft pedaling nature of the G-20 summit, which is definitely long in hope but short on substance.

CNH

G-20 Euphoria has left the USD/CNH which has traders once again positioning for a protracted trade war.

The 1-month NDF USD/Asia is bid across the board.

GBP

The dreadful UK PMI data has just added to sterling woes as it seems traders can't get enough of feasting on a hapless pound.

EUR

News on the possibility of further US tariffs on the EU saw a brief move lower on the EUR, but this should not come as a surprise, to anyone and the move was quickly faded. Again the proof will be in the pudding and the US President doesn't want the EUR.USD to trade at 1.1000.

However, the move to 1.1300 is being met with lots of sellers as it seems market participants are using any uptick to reduce EUR/USD longs.

If you are looking of an existing currency pair to trade, I suggest elsewhere with you year EUR/USD options 5.925/5.975 and offer directly at 5.95 which is at similar levels to before the 2008 GFC.

USD

The post-quarter-end funding migraines continue today in the daily funding levels across G10 FX, as does chatter about dollar shortages over the Thursday US holiday which is likely adding to the dollar appeal.

Huawei

Supporting our views from yesterday on Huawei that President Trump was cozying up with Silicon Valley.

On the surface, it seems the national security hawks don't have the Presidents ear after all, especially as President Trump turns to focus on his election 2020 campaign. So, it makes sense to cozy up with the Silicon Valley lobby types knowing that restarting sales to Huawei will cause an enormous lift to US tech sector exports and a boost to stock markets. Let's face it is having been the long-held view that President Trump likes to gauge his popularity by robust US equity markets.

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