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Are We in the Midst of an AI Bubble? These Indicators Say So

Published 07/08/2024, 02:39 AM

It is far easier and more lucrative to hype “the future” than it is to actually build it.

And there is now a record amount of hype built into the valuations of the biggest stocks in the market.

S&P 500 Bullishness

Meanwhile, the failure of the rest of the stock market to keep pace has led to unprecedented divergences in a variety of breadth measures.

SPX vs Advancers 3-Month Correlation

However, there is little fundamental evidence so far to suggest that reality will live up to the hype around Big Tech.

CapEx Data

Given the size of the sheer size the bubble this time around, its aftermath could prove especially problematic.

Nvidia in 2024 vs Cisco in 2000

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