Often I talk about the importance of watching the performance of market-leading stocks and sectors. And just last week, we highlighted that the Semiconductor Sector (SMH) was nearing its 38.2% Fibonacci level.
Well, that level is already showing its importance and has given the rally pause. Could it lead to a pullback or another strong move lower?
Today’s chart is a long-term monthly chart of the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SMH). This market leader has out-performed for most of the rally from the 2009 low. But it also peaked and led the market lower at the end of 2021 and into 2022. So it is an important one to watch.
Currently, SMH is attempting to put in a bearish reversal for the August price candle. And this comes from none other than the 38.2% Fibonacci level. In my humble opinion, investors should keep an eye on how SMH finishes out the month.
Could this create a monthly bearish reversal at a key Fibonacci level this month? Stay tuned!