Given the crazy moves interest rates have been making lately, I thought we’d check in on my trio of bearish positions (by way of being long January 2019 in-the-money put options). Below are all three, with an arrow marking my “uh-oh” spot when things would turn wrong. So far, they haven’t, but I’m wringing my hands a bit more than I used to. First there is the Dow 15 Utilities:
The bonds themselves, which are actually a pattern within a larger pattern within a still-larger pattern (what is shown below is the smallest):
And, lastly, real estate:
