2 Bubbles Burst, Crush Shareholders

Published 02/07/2014, 06:03 AM
Updated 05/14/2017, 06:45 AM
US500
-

Why use lots of words when pictures will suffice?

That’s my thinking each Friday when I select a handful of graphics to put important economic and investing news into perspective for you.

This week, I’m serving up some pretty pictures and quick-hit observations on the most obvious bubble in the world – and why not one, but two data sets suggest that it’s (almost) time to back up the truck on stocks.

If You Heard a Popping Sound…

It’s because the 3-D printing bubble just burst.

After leading WSD Insiders to triple-digit profits (twice) in 3D Systems (DDD) – before anyone ever heard of the technology, mind you – I began warning about an imminent collapse in the space.

And it hit yesterday.

 The Printers

3D Systems, the biggest company in the sector, warned about future profits – sending the entire sector reeling. Get out while you can!

In other bubble-related news, social media darling, Twitter (TWTR), turned out to be a landmine. It tanked 20% on Thursday after reporting weaker-than-expected user growth.

Both serve as all-too-poignant reminders that we should always buy into out-of-this world fundamentals, not hype.

Only Three More Points to Go

On Tuesday, I put you on high alert for the release of this week’s American Association of Individual Investors’ (AAII) bullish sentiment reading. It’s out – and it’s down!

It fell another 4.3 points this week to hit 27.9%.

 S&P 500 And Bullish Sentiment

To think that only six weeks ago, bullish sentiment stood at a lofty 55.06%…

We’re now only 2.9 points away from the scary mathematical certainty I mentioned on Tuesday.

Remember, every time AAII bullish sentiment has dipped below 25% during this bull market, the S&P 500 Index went on to rally over the next six months.

Gas up the truck and get ready to back it up!

Seasonality Matters

Seasonal trading patterns also point to a contrarian buying opportunity right now.

As you can see, February is the second-worst month for the Dow. However, it’s essentially a flat month, which is followed by two of the most consistently profitable months of the year.

 Dow Change

Chew on that before you panic and rush for the exits. You could be exiting right before the next leg higher. And I’d much rather you be counting profits, instead of nursing regret, a couple months from now.

Original post

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.