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10 key Charts to Understand the State of the Chinese Economy Today

Published 08/31/2024, 04:29 AM
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(1) Chinese consumers are depressed.

China Consumer Confidence Index

(2) Home prices are falling in China.

China New House Prices

(3) Chinese stock prices are on downward trends led by real estate stocks.

Chinese Stock Indexes

(4) China's real retail sales growth is weak and exceeds the growth of industrial production.

China Real Retail Sales. Vs. Production

(5) The growth rates of Chinese bank loans and M2 are falling rapidly.

China Bank Loans Vs M2

(6) Negative growth in M1 suggests that deflationary pressures on China's producer price index will persist over the coming 12 months.

China PPI/M1

(7) According to M1, China's nominal GDP growth could fall to zero or turn negative over the next six months.

China Nominal GDP/M1 Growth

(8) The Chinese 10-year government bond yield has plunged since the start of last year from 3.00% to 2.18% currently.

Chinese 10-Year Bond Yield

(9) The weakness in China's economy is weighing on commodity prices, especially copper and crude oil prices.

Copper Futures Vs. Chinese 10-Year Bond Yield

(10) A record-low fertility rate in China has depressed the number of births to a record low as well.

China Demographics


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