was happily hanging around the opening level of 1.0700 during the morning session until the BoJ intervened in the local currency by buying USD and taking the price from 75.50 to 79.50 on the day. The cross effect with AUDJPY orders getting done saw an increased volume of selling and with the Qantas debacle hanging over the market the price was hit hard and we now close the day with the price off 170 points at 1.0530. The momentum looks set in stone and with the London market coming in soon we are looking for the cleanout to extend.
A break now below 1.0500 after it being such a strong resistance level on the way up could be pivotal over the coming hours. We were already leaning to the bearish side of the market and the break below the 1.0660 confirmed this so we have changed the bias in the short term and a break below 1.0500 will confirm the medium term as well. On the topside there isn’t much in the way of orders or resistance levels until 1.0660 so we could be in for a choppy London and New York sessions.
Please see the attached chart below.