NET Power Inc. (ticker not provided), a company specializing in clean energy generation, reported a robust financial position in its First Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. The company outlined its progress on key projects and emphasized its readiness to comply with stringent environmental regulations.
With the development of its utility-scale product and first project on track and a total addressable market that is expanding, NET Power is preparing for a significant manufacturing scale-up by the early 2030s. The company ended the quarter with approximately $625 million in cash and investments and a fully diluted share count of about 248 million shares.
Key Takeaways
- NET Power's utility-scale product and first project development are proceeding as planned.
- The company's market is growing faster than anticipated, supported by favorable government policies.
- NET Power's technology aligns with the EPA's Section 111 B&D Emission rules.
- A supply chain for scaling up manufacturing in the early 2030s is being established.
- The company has submitted a MISO interconnection application for its first project, OP1.
- Discussions are underway for financing regional origination hub programs.
- The La Porte demonstration facility is being upgraded in partnership with Baker Hughes.
- Project Permian is expected to start generating power between the second half of 2027 and the first half of 2028.
- NET Power ended Q1 2024 with $625 million in cash and investments, and capital expenditures were about $10 million.
- The fully diluted share count was approximately 248 million shares as of March 31, 2024.
Company Outlook
- NET Power is filing Class 6 sequestration permits and establishing origination hubs for power plants.
- The company is targeting the increasing demand for baseload power from tech companies and utilities.
- Plans to go public are aimed at capitalizing and expanding the business.
Bearish Highlights
- The cash burn from operations is approximately $40 million, covered by cash interest received.
- As interest rates decrease and capital expenditures increase, the cash burn is expected to accelerate.
- The company has overcapitalized its balance sheet and is cautious in business expansion.
Bullish Highlights
- NET Power's technology is poised to comply with EPA emission rules and provide clean, affordable power.
- The standardized design of plants allows for flexibility in manufacturing and deployment.
- There is a focus on international markets and a belief that demand will outstrip supply in the next decade.
Misses
- No specific misses were discussed in the provided context.
Q&A Highlights
- NET Power is in discussions with an Air Separation Unit provider for technical integration and commercial negotiations for Project Permian.
- The company acknowledges the challenge of meeting increasing load growth with smaller scale solutions and emphasizes the suitability of natural gas generation-based solutions.
In summary, NET Power Inc. is maintaining a strong financial position as it advances its clean energy projects. With a focus on compliance with environmental regulations and the expansion of its market, the company is positioning itself to meet the growing demand for baseload clean power. Despite the challenges of scaling up and managing cash burn, NET Power is confident in its technology and the support of its shareholders as it moves toward a future of decarbonized power generation.
InvestingPro Insights
NET Power Inc., while forging ahead with its clean energy initiatives, presents a mixed financial landscape according to recent data from InvestingPro. The company's strategic position in the clean energy sector is underscored by its ability to maintain more cash than debt, as indicated by one of the InvestingPro Tips. This tip is particularly relevant as it highlights the company's financial health and preparedness for future investments in its clean energy projects.
Another InvestingPro Tip points out that NET Power is a niche player in the clean energy industry, which can be both a strength and a challenge. As a specialized company, NET Power may be well-positioned to innovate and adapt to specific market needs, yet it also faces the task of scaling up in a competitive environment.
From the real-time metrics provided by InvestingPro, the company's stock price often moves in the opposite direction of the market, which could be significant for investors looking for non-correlated assets. Additionally, the company's market capitalization stands at $2.27 billion USD, and it is trading at a high revenue valuation multiple, which may suggest that investors have high expectations for the company's future growth and profitability.
It's worth noting that NET Power does not pay a dividend to shareholders, which may impact the investment decisions of those seeking regular income from their investments. For readers interested in a deeper dive into NET Power's financials and additional InvestingPro Tips, there are 9 more tips available that could provide further insight into the company's performance and outlook. To access these insights and take advantage of a special offer, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription at InvestingPro.
Full transcript - Rice Acquisition II (NPWR) Q1 2024:
Operator: Hello and welcome to the NET Power Inc. First Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It's now my pleasure to turn the call over to Bryce Mendes. Please go ahead.
Bryce Mendes: Good morning everyone and welcome to NET Power's first quarter 2024 earnings conference call. With me on the call today we have our Chief Executive Officer, Danny Rice; our President and Chief Operating Officer, Brian Allen; and our Chief Financial Officer, Akash Patel. Today, we issued our earnings release for the first quarter of 2024, which can be found on our Investor Relations website, along with this presentation at ir.netpower.com. During this call, our remarks and responses to questions may include forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those stated or implied by forward-looking statements due to risks and uncertainties associated with our business. These risks and uncertainties are discussed in our SEC filings. Please note that we assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. With that, I'll now pass it over to Danny Rice, NET Power's Chief Executive Officer.
Danny Rice: Thanks all for joining us. We're going to reference several slides in the investor presentation we posted to our website, and I'd encourage you to have this handy. To summarize where we are to date, development remains on track for our utility scale product, development remains on track for our first project. Our total addressable market is expanding faster than we expected and government policy is evolving in our favor. Brian will provide an update on product and project development, but first, let me share some thoughts on the macro. Society's paramount need for the next century is to implement scalable energy solutions that can provide clean, affordable, and reliable power, a trifecta that remains elusive in current offerings. Despite the enormity of the prize at hand, only a handful of emerging solutions hold the promise on delivering on these fronts and NET Power really stands out among them. Diving into the U.S. in particular, the expected deficit between future power supply and future power demand continues to widen its low growth, primarily from data centers and the electrification of everything is out running supply growth, which we think will move forward power prices significantly higher. In a free market, higher prices would induce new supply, primarily from coal and gas power plants. But what makes this situation really interesting is that the EPA recently finalized its Section 111 B&D Emission rules for coal and gas power plants. To summarize the rules, all coal plants must capture the equivalent of 95% of its CO2 emissions by 2032 and all new baseload gas plants operating more than 40% of the time, must begin capturing 90% of its emissions by 2032, while existing gas plants will be addressed down the line as EPA gathers more input. These emissions rules raise the bar for the industry. We think it's one that our power plants will handily meet. As we think about positioning versus post-combustion carbon capture solutions, our Oxy combustion-based plant will be likely the best way to comply in load following mode that is we're capturing over 97% of CO2, whether we're at partial or full output. When we pair the EPA rules with the IRA incentives, it positions NET Power to become the lowest cost form of marginal baseload power in markets with CO2 storage. And as a reminder, approximately 80% of U.S. thermal power generation today is above or near world-class carbon sinks. And I think Ralph Waldo Emerson (NYSE:EMR) said it best. If you build the perfect mouse trap, the world will build a beaten path to your door. And for that reason, we need to be ready for future demand, and it's why we're preparing our supply chain for significant manufacturing scale up by the early 2030s. Turning to the origination side of the business. We submitted our MISO interconnection application for OP1, our first NET Power-originated project. This marks a critical first step in improving reliability in the grid system and we look forward to working through the interconnect process with MISO. So, while OP1 continues to advance as we intended, we're in active dialogue with prospective partners on additional origination opportunities across other competitive power markets, including PJM, ERCOT, CAISO, and the Alberta System. We continue to have active dialogue with a cross-section of companies across the oil and gas, power, data center, and industrial sectors, along with infrastructure capital providers that are interested in financing our regional origination hub programs. And last but not least, I'd like to thank our team for their hard work. NET Power has approximately 60 full-time employees, plus another approximately 200 full-time resources across our various investor and supply chain partners are doing everything they can to make NET Power a commercial success. I'd like to commend this team and our partners for a great job maintaining an aggressive schedule to develop and deploy our technology. It's not easy, but they're finding ways to get it done, and I think it's important for our shareholders to see this. I'll now hand it over to Brian to give an operational update.
Brian Allen: Thanks, Danny. Turning to Slide 10 in the presentation. The team continues to make steady progress on site upgrades to our La Porte demonstration facility in preparation for our floor phase validation campaign with Baker Hughes. It is an exciting time at the site as our team is busy making control system modifications and installing new equipment, structural steel, electrical, cable and piping, all in preparation for near-term testing. On our last call, I presented this slide and I will revisit key points before going into more depth on how this campaign will derisk the utility scale deployments. The La Porte demonstration facility was developed to prove the concept of the NET Power cycle, which we did when we synchronized to the grid in 2021 and to test key equipment such as the turboexpander. The upcoming testing of port will focus on validating and derisking the Baker Hughes utility scale turbo standard and how to optimize its operation within our cycle. The campaign will follow four primary phases and will continue for 2026. The first phase of testing we look for focuses on the Turbo expanded burner, which is where combustion of natural gas and oxygen takes place in a CO2 environment. We will test multiple oxy fuel-burn configurations, and Baker will select the best burner heading into the next phase. We expect to begin Phase 1 testing in Q4 of this year. The second phase of testing will take the selected oxy-fuel burner from Phase 1 and test it along with a combustion liner and other hardware to form a single demonstrator size combustion can. This testing will allow us to optimize combustion and full La Porte demonstration conditions. The third phase of testing will involve scaling the demonstrator size combustor can from Phase 2 to a utility scale can with clusters of burners and then testing it with the goal of learning and optimizing the design of the utility-scale combustor that will operate that project Permian and beyond. The fourth and final Phase will test the full demonstrator turbo expander, including the validation of materials and design architecture used on the turbo expander for Project Permian. Baker Hughes and NET Power will use this testing to tune our analytics and performance simulation models with the acquired test data. We will confirm the demonstrator turbo expander and overall cycle operability and dynamic capability. All of this will allow us to confirm the overall demonstration plant cycle design and plant control system integrated with the Baker Hughes equipment, ensuring that we minimize residual risk of the first of a kind prior to Project Permian initial operations. Turning to Slide 11. I will explain how the validation campaign of before derisks our utility scale deployments. The key new enabling technology being validated out before is the Baker Hughes turbo expander integrated into the NET Power cycle. As part of our joint development program of Baker Hughes, the La Porte demonstrator Turbo expander and utility scale Turbo expander are both being designed by the same engineering team and manufactured in a nearly parallel fashion. The LaPorte demonstrator Turbo expander is a reduced scale version of the utility-scale Turbo expander with a flow path sharing the same design philosophy. It has similar design architecture, materials, and maximum operating pressure and temperature. Both the La Porte and utility-scale Turbo expander will share the same combustion burners, although with a different quantity of burners and combustion cans to accommodate an 11 times difference in thermal energy input. Both will also share similar operating characteristics in terms of the way the machines are started, ramp up in power, synchronize to the grid, follow the and dispatch commands from the plant operators, and then shut down. In short, it's similarity and design and operation of our Baker Hughes to gain the most benefit from our existing demonstration facility. So, what does all of this do for the utility-scale plants? It allows NET Power to begin initial operations of the first plant Project Permian, having already gained real data to optimize the plant design, tune our cycle performance models, and update the plant control system. And it allows Baker Hughes to gain significant lessons to learn, improve their turbine controls and operability, and make any other final modifications if necessary, based on the validation campaign results. Overall, it's an incredible opportunity to derisk Project Permanent. Next, I will turn to Slide 12 for an update on Project Permian. The project remains on schedule with initial power generation expected to occur between the second half of 2027 and first half of 2028. Our key upcoming 2024 milestones are highlighted on the slide. We are advancing our Front-End Engineering Design or FEED with Zachry. Year-to-date, we have completed our initial sets of heat and mass balances, process flow diagrams, and our piping and instrumentation diagrams. Together, these deliverables complete a pivotal step that defines at this stage of the project, the primary equipment and materials required, including compressors, pumps, heat exchangers, measurement instruments, valves, piping, and so forth. Zachry has been advancing the overall plant 3D layout in parallel and can now proceed towards finalizing the FEED stage plant design. They will then firm up their equipment quotes and their quantification of total pipe, electrical cable and wiring, structural steel, concrete, et cetera, and the cost to construct them. Utilizing all of this information, Zachry will finalize their open book estimate by the end of the year. To maintain the project schedule, we will continue to order long lead components throughout 2024. We are currently out to bid on the major plant generator step-up transformer and switchyard circuit breakers and expect that their manufacturing lead-times will support our project schedule. We have also progressed our generation interconnect to the final interconnection study phase. Regarding the Air Separation Unit, or ASU, we have made great progress on early engineering. Together with our ASU provider, we have made process and equipment selections and are entering a FEED phase with them shortly. We have done a lot of work on logistics and analysis to ensure we have the ability to transport components from four locations on the Gulf Coast in Texas to the Midland Odessa region. With that, I'll pass it off to Akash for the financial updates.
Akash Patel: Thanks Brian. NET Power continues to premiumly deploy our capital, ending the first quarter of 2024 with a strong balance sheet, including approximately $625 million of cash and investments. Consistent with the past several quarters, the current interest rate environment has allowed us to put our balance sheet cash to work to materially offset our corporate spend. In the first quarter, our cash flow used in operations was approximately $3 million, which included a cash payment of more than $3 million under the Baker Hughes JDA. However, this high interest rate environment won't last forever and we expect cash flow used in operations to continue increasing as we build out the organization, progress the joint development program with Baker Hughes, and ramp-up activity at La Porte. For the quarter, our total capital expenditures were approximately $10 million comprised of approximately $6 million of capitalized costs associated with the ongoing Project Permian development activities and approximately $4 million spent on La Porte modifications and upgrades ahead of testing that is expected to begin in the fourth quarter of this year. NET Power's fully diluted share count was approximately 248 million shares as of March 31st, 2024. This was comprised of approximately $214 million Class A and Class B vested shares currently outstanding; 19.5 million shares issuable upon the exercise of outstanding public and private warrants, which is cash exercise, would get NET Power an additional $225 million of cash; 1.7 million shares subject to earnouts or vesting requirements; and approximately 13 million authorized shares issued pursuant to the Baker Hughes joint development agreement. For a detailed breakdown of our share count, please refer to our annual and quarterly financials on file with the SEC. That concludes our prepared remarks. I'll now pass it back to the operator to open up the line for Q&A.
Operator: Thank you. We'll now be conducting a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question is coming from Martin Malloy from Johnson Rice. Your line is now live.
Martin Malloy: Good morning. Thank you for taking my question. The first question was around the interconnection filing. Can you give us any more information about the geographic location or the -- if there's a filing associated with that for carbon sequestration and maybe the timing of that filing?
Danny Rice: Hey Marty, it's Danny. Good to hear from you. In terms of like specific location, we're not disclosing that yet just for competitive reasons. But like we've said in the past, it's in the Northern MISO region, MISO goes all the way from Michigan all the way down to Louisiana and everything in between. And it will be in the northern section of MISO. It will ultimately get out there publicly once the filing is accepted by MISO and we're proceeding into the next phase of the interconnect. And then on the subsurface side of things, our partners and I will be looking at filing Class 6 sequestration permits in 2024. So, I think when we fast-forward three or four years, we'll have Class 6 permits and we'll have the interconnect into the Northern MISO system. So, everything is kind of going according to plan up there, and we couldn't get that power plant on soon enough. That Northern MISO system really, really needs clean baseload power, probably as much as any other system in the country.
Martin Malloy: Thank you. And for my second question, just wanted to maybe see if you could provide a little more information about recent customer conversations? And you started off the prepared remarks talking about the total addressable market increasing faster than expected. And with the press reports about the need for additional power for data centers and reshoring manufacturing, et cetera. Can you maybe talk about the nature and the types of customers that you're having these conversations with?
Danny Rice: Yes, it's been the same type of companies over the last few years. We've been talking to the tech companies for a while. They have a growing need for baseload power for the data centers. So, those conversations, I wouldn't say are necessarily new, they're just now picking up is they're really starting to look at almost needing to start to procure power like going to the source of generation rather than just being an active participant in the open market in the grid systems. I think everybody is now starting to realize baseload reliable power has gone from being an abundant low-cost commodity to now becoming a pretty sacred resource. And that's really only kind of transpired over the course of the last few years. And then I think when everybody looks ahead with just the clean ambitions that we have at the EPA and across most states, there's really no such thing as clean, affordable baseload today. And so folks are starting to pay a lot more attention to those potential solutions that are being developed that give you those energy trifecta. So, we're seeing a bunch from the top folks, but we're also seeing it from the utility industry and just the power industry, in general, who have obviously been like the primary customers and custodians of these type of generating assets and the shortage of power that we're seeing on the tech side for data centers is even greater on just the broader grid system where you see these system operators across MISO, PJM, even ERCOT is now saying by 2030, we're seeing a 30-gigawatt shortfall in peak summer power demand, which is a little bit amazing since Texas is what we -- what I think all of us would say is probably the most abundant place for power generation, they're seeing a significant shortfall too. So, we're kind of seeing it across the board in terms of folks' interest in NET Power. And so I think with all of these inbounds, I think where it's really pointing us to is once our first plant is online, I think that's when we have an entirely new pathway to generate low-carbon power, baseload that's affordable. And so I think one of the things that Brian and his team on the operational side, particularly on the supply chain side, is focused on is after the first plant comes online, how quickly can we scale up into full-scale manufacturing mode where we're able to produce dozens of these plants per year. So, it's a pretty ambitious but quite realistic opportunity for us just because the demands that we're kind of seeing knocking in our door -- zero number one is it's unlike anything that I think the power industry has seen before, but it's certainly one of the underlying reasons why we said it's really, really important we get NET Power public. We extend the public profile of the business, but we also capitalized the business and align it with long-term shareholders that see the vision and see the potential and can help us capitalize this to capture that market that's coming our way.
Martin Malloy: Great. Thank you very much. I'll turn it back
Danny Rice: Thanks Marty.
Operator: Thanks. Next question is coming from Leo Mariani from ROTH MKM. Your line is now live.
Leo Mariani: Hey I was hoping to expand a bit on the customer discussion here. Just specifically with respect to OP1, have you guys actually kind of engaged a counterparty that's committed there? Or is this still something NET Power is kind of funding in the early stages and sort of progressing? And maybe there's some conversations about getting somebody to step into that actual role. So, maybe just kind of talk about that kind of OP1, I guess, project number two?
Danny Rice: Yes, sure, Leo. And it's still to be determined if it will ultimately be Serial Number 2 or Serial Number 3. I think that's one of the flexibilities we have around the originated projects as it gives us total creative control over not just the timing of the project, but also what critical strategic stakeholders do we want to bring into this project? Because I think the way we're really envisioning this project is it's not just a one-off plant, right? I think the area that we're targeting in the market that we're targeting is much larger than just one plant. I mean we're talking about a market that could accommodate 20 to 40 NET Power plants. And so as we look at just partners and strategic partners, we had a slide in one of our earnings decks a few quarters ago where we kind of listed out all of the various stakeholders that we would want to bring into these consortiums. And it ranges from the utilities that are in the area. It is not just like the local government and the local landowners and the stakeholders at the community level, but it's the infrastructure capital providers, there's going to be really cool opportunities to be able to start looking at co-location of data centers for some of these plants, whether it's OP1, or OP2, or OP3. And so I think one of the real neat benefits of just this origination strategy is it gives us a lot of just creative latitude over what are the strategic partners do we want to bring into these hubs because while I think at the center of that hub, NET Power is powering it. But there's a whole lot of stakeholders that really benefit from having that clean, affordable, reliable power either for the grid or for their behind-the-meter solution. So, we're in the early days of really setting out what are the strategic stakeholders we want to have in this Northern MISO hub. But I would imagine it will be different and really catered for each market where we start to establish these origination hubs.
Leo Mariani: Okay. I appreciate that. And then just wanted to follow-up quickly on the cash burn that you all were talking about. I think Akash, you kind of referenced it might be accelerating a bit here in 2024. Can you maybe just kind of speak to any of the components of that? You talked about kind of $10 million in CapEx in the first quarter, like some of that was $6 million capitalized, $4 million actually spent. But how do you see that kind of progressing for the rest of the year? What type of CapEx do we see? And is that going to be the primary component of the cash burn? Do you expect -- I know interest rates could fall, but assuming they stay steady, do you think kind of the interest on the cash balance kind of handles the internal sort of G&A?
Akash Patel: Yes. Thanks Leo. Yes, we are spot on there. So, two components. On the cash burn from operations this quarter, we were at roughly $2.7 million of cash burn, but that includes our cash payment under the Baker Hughes JDA, which was approximately $3.7 million. So, if you back that out and you back out the cash interest received and you just multiplied by four for a run rate annualized figure. I think the cash burn from operations is roughly $40 million right now, and that's being covered pretty materially by the cash interest received. Now, as interest rates come down and we actually start spending money on the CapEx side, you'll start seeing that accelerate a little bit. But very fortunate that we overcapitalize the balance sheet, we continue to be pretty prudent on how we build out the business to ensure that we've rightsized our capital plan. On the CapEx side of the house, we -- when we overcapitalize the balance sheet on the go public transaction, we said that roughly $200 million is our first dollars into the project to ensure that we continue releasing long leads, et cetera. Now, we're in active negotiation with several of the long lead providers. And so we haven't really said when that cash will go out the door. Obviously, given the terms are incredibly important, and we'd like to keep that cash as long as we can. But you can expect that to come through over the next, call it, a year. The pace of which will be back-waited for this year and then hopefully, we can get some pushed out. But still a little early for us to say when exactly on a quarterly basis that will accelerate.
Leo Mariani: Okay. Thank you.
Operator: Thank you. Our next question today is coming from Thomas Meric from Janney Montgomery. Your line is now live.
Thomas Meric: Good morning. Thanks for the time and thanks for the questions. On supply and demand, I'm curious your thoughts about the next couple of years, and I want to dive into ERCOT, but I think this is related to all the RTOs. But specifically, just kind of thinking about load growth, the need for dispatchable generators, the EPA rule, and just the general underwriting of risk to build a new dispatchable resource. So, the question is really just how do you see the supply and demand of generators in the next few years, specifically dispatchable assets?
Danny Rice: Yes, I think, Thomas, I think that's like the billion dollar question, it may even be a trillion dollar question at this point. I think when you kind of heard us talking over the course of the last few quarters about just the underlying thesis for NET Power, it was really like through the lens of this -- we have a grid system where we've really underinvested in baseload assets over the course of the last decade. Really, since the Shell (LON:SHEL) revolution in natural gas replacing coal power then in the country. We've really seen this underinvestment in baseload dispatchable assets and more of an over investment into the renewable assets. And so we're in this real predicament now where we have the system operator saying, hey, by the end of 2030, we're seeing all these decommissioning notices of baseload plants that are just aging that are underutilized that are uneconomic looking to come off the grid system, and we have a real problem because nobody is backfilling with new baseload power generation. And so this is all like -- all of this stuff kind of predated the new load forecasts for data centers and what the data centers aspire to do. And so when you kind of start to add that on top, you start to see problems start to -- just shortfalls really start to emerge quite quickly. And so then we have the EPA rules which are saying, hey, look, if we want to actually decarbonize, we really need to find ways to reduce emissions from coal and gas power generation. So, we totally agree with that sentiment. That really is like the other basis of NET Power was if you really want to decarbonize the grid, you really need to find a way to capture CO2 from coal and gas power generation, not to make coal and gas power generation go away, but just make the emissions go away. And so that was really the mission that NET Power is on is to find ways to decarbonize the grid. So, that's happening, and that will happen before too long. I think the real question is, is dispatchable power going to be able to ramp up to meet just the load growth that we're going to be seeing on these grid systems, knowing that, that load growth needs to be met with dispatchable baseload power generation that's affordable. Otherwise, that load is just not going to get met by the supply. And so that's going to be like the billion dollar question is, are we going to see new baseload, which at this point are just natural gas combined cycle, simple cycle facilities, built in the face of the EPA regulations that are coming down the pike that the EPA is finalized. I'm sure it's going to be highly litigated. But I wonder is that going to have a chilling effect on folks wanting to build to meet that load growth that we're going to be seeing. I don't know. I think it's anybody's question. But I think that the EPA has made it clear that they want to see lower carbon solutions making its way onto the grid system. So, like I think if anything, there should send a signal to the market, to the investment community that we need to continue to accelerate the investment in low-carbon solutions. And guess what, what the EPA is really trying to say through this ruling is we need you to find ways to accelerate the deployment of baseload dispatchable power generation that's focused on natural gas because I think everybody unequivocally agrees, the only way we're going to be able to scale to meet this load growth is going to be from natural gas. It could come from coal, but coal is kind of really working its way out of the system completely, and it's really just being replaced by gas. And so I think the only way that we're going to be able to see us meet this load growth is going to be from natural gas. And it's really going to become a question of is the EPA going to relax its rules a little bit more? Or are we going to see the industry step up and put a lot more capital into really cool solutions like NET Power that have demonstrated we can generate clean power from natural gas. What we really need the industry to do is step up and put that capital to work to start deploying this stuff at scale. Now, it really starts happening after our first plant comes online in 2027, 2028, but really to be able to start to hit the EPA's targeted goal to the U.S., those targeted goals by the middle part of the next decade, we have to be ready on the supply chain to be able to scale from one plant a year to 30 plants per year by the beginning of next decade to have any shot of being able to really just save the grid from what's coming down the pike. And if not -- if natural gas doesn't show up, I think what you end up happening is you have power prices really start to spike because you're going to start to see more load growth that's looking for 24/7 power that exists on the grid system. And will that be enough, those major, major prices be enough to induce somebody to build a combined cycle plant that, right now would be out of compliance if those EPA rules get finalized and are put into law for good. So, it's such an interesting macro setup. But I think the thing with NET Power that makes us a little bit unique is we're sort of hedged because I think our approach before was, look, just with the 45Q program, like that carrot is enough for us to say these are economic plans to be able to deploy in just about every grid system across the U.S., especially once we're into a manufacturing mode and we get our CapEx down from that first glance to $700 million by the 30th plant, and that's just an estimate, but that's ultimately where we want to trend down to. And so we're sitting here in a place where we're good with just the 45Q just that carrot. We didn't -- and we don't necessarily need a stick on the backend because I think at the end of the day, the economics should prevail, especially with a commodity like power. And so we've designed this thing so that we can compete being able to leverage the 45Q to accelerate our development into manufacturing mode, but we don't necessarily need that stick. But certainly, if we get that stick in the form of the EPA rules, it really will just accelerate us even further and then guess what? For the folks that are just proactively deploying that power just on the economics, their CapEx is going to come down because that means we're going to be deploying even more plants because of that EPA mandate. So, I think the long and the short of it is the EPA rules are great for us. The 45Q was already amazing for us to set us up for growth in the United States. And so I think when you kind of put the two together, whether or not we have the EPA, I think NET Power is going to be in a really, really good place to be able to comply with whatever the EPA throws our way.
Thomas Meric: Thanks. A great response. On the EPA, just curious, NET Power was one of just a handful of private sector companies mentioned in the final document. I'm curious just how you reacted to that? Or what have conversations been like since the rule was published? Maybe just any kind of anecdotes or commentary about the inclusion of NET Power's technology in that final rule would be helpful?
Danny Rice: Yes, I mean I think some of just the color for our investors that haven't been following it too closely. The EPA proposed the rules last fall. They then opened it up for a comment period. We didn't know that we were going to get called up by name specifically as an example of promising technologies coming down the pike on the carbon capture side. And so when they had their proposed ruling and then they open it up for comment, we saw that as an opportunity just to let everybody know, not just the EPA, but all of the other readers of that comment period, just the facts and circumstances of NET Power. And so we were just a matter of fact about just the state of NET Power technology development, the state of the company. We have just taken the company public, we had properly capitalized the business to be able to scale up to meet this future demand resulting from the EPA rules. But that's really been it. I think, certainly, that the industry is -- the broader power industry is a little bit split on it. There's some folks that stance believe we need to get a cleaner grid system faster. And there's other ones that believe that we need to ensure that this transition to a lower carbon future proceeds uninterrupted. So, uninterrupted affordable, reliable power. I think in either case, we want to be there as that clean, affordable, reliable power source that really cuts right down the middle and really like unite both sides that want that reliable, affordable power, and they want it to be clean. So, back to my intro comments today, there's not a whole lot of just energy solutions being developed that can do all three. And certainly, we see NET Power is probably one of the better ones. And a lot of it is because we're using one of the cheapest energy feedstocks we have on Planet Earth, natural gas, especially here in the United States. And we've kind of always said, man, if we can find a way to decarbonize this really, really low-cost feedstock, we really can deliver the energy trifecta. So, I think it's something that we'll be able to get everybody to support. But I think right now, it is a bit partisan in terms of people taking one side or the other, but we're going to be that aisle that goes right down the middle, that I think everybody can rally around. And so being a public company with the shareholders that we have on this call, there really is a much greater purpose to what we're trying to do beyond just creating significant shareholder value.
Thomas Meric: Thanks. That's it for me.
Danny Rice: Thanks Thomas.
Operator: Thank you. Next question is coming from Wade Suki from Capital One. Your line is now live.
Wade Suki: Good morning everyone. Thank you for taking my questions. Just to kind of dovetail I think it was maybe Marty and Leo asking about OP1. It sounds like there might be some shifting priorities or timelines here. I wonder if you could kind of give us maybe a dead path timeline for what you see as OP1 today? And I can't remember it might be old man's memory or something, but did you all disclose the size of this project?
Danny Rice: Yes. So, the thing was -- yes, so the OP1 is the same size as Serial Number 1. So, I think as everybody knows, we have a standard plan design, right? And so that's really like the important thing coming out of Serial Number 1 is it really establishes the standardized design that we're going to deploy in manufacturing mode across the U.S. and the world. And so I think one of the just flexibilities we have -- and this is really unique to NET Power versus all other real thermal power generation solutions is every single plant really into that battery limit is going to be identical to every other one, absent changes for just ambient temperatures, if you're in a cold environment versus a hotter environment. But absent that, everything else about this plant, the size, the design, the weight, it's operability, it will be the same. And so what that allows us to do is a couple of things. One is the manufacturing mode approach where we can just start to just mass manufacture all of the components of the plant, we can modularize the components of the plant. But the other really neat thing it enables us to, it gives us flexibility over when the plant is essentially coming off of that proverbial assembly line, which location do we want to send it to first? And it can be for both economic reasons, a given market has crazy power prices that have spiked, let's accelerate deployment of this location over another one where power prices haven't gone haywire. But it also allows us tremendous flexibility if we run into any permitting delays in one location versus the next. We always have other projects in the hopper that we can then send those components to get those plants online sooner. So, it's almost like a little bit of an insurance product to being able to have the standardized approach. Now, right now, we're sitting here saying, OP1, right now, it's kind of in line to be Serial Number 2. But as we're developing other origination projects, as we're starting to have serious dialogue with prospective customers that are in dire need of being able to meet their own power demand on just the traditional licensing commercial side, there's going to be opportunities for us to accelerate other projects. And it's really -- part of it is through the lens of what's in the best interest of the shareholders to accelerate one project versus another, but also part of it is just like the social responsibility of this area really, really needs baseload reliable power much sooner than this other area. So, I think at the end of the day, when we think out 20 or 30 years, we're going to do what's in the best interest of the shareholders long-term. And I think, certainly, the standardized design really enables us to have total flexibility to ensure that happens.
Wade Suki: Makes total sense. Thank you so much. Let's take the next step, I guess, here. I was asked about the commercial pipeline, things like that. You mentioned Alberta, but I'm just curious where in line do international opportunities kind of reside in the pecking order or in the priority list as you see it today? Again, any hints you can give us on geography that would be fantastic?
Danny Rice: Yes, I think we've been pretty transparent about what international markets are really interesting to us. The Canadian market is a little bit unique, specifically Western Canada, just because it's a competitive power market just like most of the U.S. markets. So, the ASU system is a competitive power market just like a MISO or PJM or an ERCOT, where anybody can go build power generation out there if they wanted to supply power into Alberta. And so that's an area where we could do origination and where we're working on things right now. And so that's an interesting area. I think when we look at other international markets, those are usually state-controlled when we look at places like the Middle East. But again, that's a really, really interesting market because they have the key features of what makes NET Power really unique, which is access to low-cost natural gas in great place to store the CO2, whether it's a permanent geologic storage, deep saline aquifers or for utilization in the form of enhanced order recovery where they can actually ascribe value to the CO2. And so the Middle East has always been interesting to us, and it's one that we're working on right now. And then when we look at other parts of the world, Australia is another one, access to low-cost natural gas, places just requested the CO2. Southeast Asia, I think, in the nascent stage of figuring what to do with the CO2 and where they're going to be able to procure low-cost natural gas, which is a little bit different than Europe, which has access to natural gas. They've chosen not to develop the natural gas, but they have fantastic places where they've proven they can geologically store the CO2 in the North Sea. So, I would say the largest power markets in the world really have the key components necessary for these plants to make really good economic sense. I think the reality of where we're going to be is we're going to be in a place where I think the market demand for NET Power is going to be much greater than we're going to be able to supply with new plants for the first part of next decade. And so I think that's going to create, unfortunately, a little bit of scarcity value, which is a good thing for us because I think what it's really going to do is really going to manifest to the surface, the most pressing, most economic markets for us to deploy our plants and kind of sitting here today, looking at the intrinsic value of a NET Power plant in any given market, it's not just the value of natural gas-based power. It's not just looking at spark spreads, but it's also looking at the value of the environment. And that value of the environment comes in the form of in the United States, the 45Q and I would say the United States has done a really, really good job of creating an incentive program that starts to ascribe value to decarbonization. And I think now other countries are starting to look at the United States to say if we're going to be competitive and really looking at it through like the lens of NET Power. If we really want to get a NET Power plant sooner than plant number 100, we really need to step it up and ascribe a value to decarbonization because if they don't, we're probably just going to sit here and deploy NET Power plants for the next 10 years in the United States, which is an amazing place to be because we're sitting here looking at the U.S. grid system and thanks, just to replace the aging coal gas and nuclear prints that we have on our system today, that's close to 800 NET Power plants in those markets where we have access to CO2 sinks. So, we could just stay here in the United States for the next decade and fully decarbonized most of the U.S. grid system, and that's awesome, but that really doesn't do anything to decarbonize the rest of the world. So, I think where we are today is we really want to see the rest of the world step up in place a value on decarbonizing their grid systems through a program similar to what the 45Q here in the United States and similar to the carbon tax that Alberta has really pioneered up in Canada.
Wade Suki: One last one for me, Dan, if you don't mind. As you look down the road, when the company is in sort of the manufacturing mode, what kind of timeline do you see, let's just say, from customer signing agreement to -- through the permitting and everything to plant start-ups, I guess, we're in the 2030s at this point, but what kind of timeline would you think about just all-in?
Danny Rice: Yes, that's a great question,. I'll turn that one over to Brian to walk you guys through the timeline a little bit.
Brian Allen: Yes. Hey. So, for the initial projects, I'd say, more of a traditional power project approach like Project Permian, maybe think of it as four years end-to-end. Certainly, that's something we want to compress over time. And as Danny said, with manufacturing mode and standardization, we can absolutely produce that. So, what that will require is standard modular design, standard equipment, which we're setting up the company to do such that when someone has the idea they want to start development, there's not reengineering work required, which is typical in the power industry. There's not reengineering work on the equipment, the overall plant design. And we get to a point where eventually, even there's potentially inventory being held, long leads being ordered. If you just go back to the early part of the supply chain, the longest lead stuff is usually components in turbomachinery, for instance. So, the equipment OEMs are very knowledgeable on how to get out ahead of customer orders if they see the demand coming. And they have a good line of sight in forecasting into that. And so we're working with them as we ramp up to have insight into the upcoming commercial opportunities. They're participating -- in the case of Baker Hughes participating with us on the commercial committee, where we look at all originated, non-originated opportunities and basically get out ahead of early engineering inventory. But really, our intent is not have to carry inventory, just reduce the overall cycle. So, what a NET Power plant should look like in the future is three years or even shorter as our target from someone has the idea until it's operational. And the only way you get their standard design and modular manufacturing approach.
Wade Suki: Fantastic. Thanks again. You'll have a great day.
Operator: Thank next. Next question today is coming from Betty Jiang from Barclays. Your line is now live.
Betty Jiang: Great. Good morning. I want to go back and ask about the data center demand. Just wondering what -- how big is the opportunity to do behind the meter power solution for a specific data center? Like do you have to size down from the 300 megawatt utility scale to fit for a typical size of a data center?
Danny Rice: That's a great question, Betty. I think if we went back five or 10 years, we would say, yes, maybe a NET Power plant is maybe too big. And in those cases, they'll be doing -- they'll take -- there'll be partial load going to the data center and the rest would just go into the grid system because a data center is going to need redundancy, whether it's through backup on-site diesel generation or just connectivity to the grid if they're truly behind the meter solution versus an off-grid solution. I think if you look at just the data centers of today and tomorrow in the size of these hyperscale data centers, these are really massive facilities. We're talking on the magnitude of 250 megawatts going up to 1 gigawatt. And so if you look at just the NET Power product market fit, we really are almost like the ideal product market fit for these data centers, which are, like I said, going to be really, really large. Now, if you look at the data center, that's 1 gigawatt and you say, okay, data centers 1 gigawatt, you guys are only 250, 300 megawatts that's not a good market fit. What we are because really what we're doing with the standardization, it really is conducive to fleet deployments. So, you almost need to think of these like blocks or modules, sort of like the way the SMR guys, the small modular reactor folks are doing with nuclear, except instead of starting with like a 50 or 60-megawatt block like they are, we're starting with a 250 to 300 megawatt block. And so to give them 1 gigawatt, we're really just putting a fleet of four NET Power plants together in a fleet configuration. And in terms of just the amount of acreage that takes up, 1 gigawatt of NET Power will take up all of 60 to 75 acres and you contrast that to the 3,000 acres that a solar farm would require just for their intermittent power or 30,000 acres that a wind farm would require to generate 1 gigawatt. So, we're talking about not just the scalability of it in terms of power output, but we're also talking about just the importance of power density and what you can actually co-locate some next to these hyperscale data centers that are increasingly looking to build really, really large gigawatt, multi-gigawatt sort of facilities. They really do need a multi-gigawatt sort of energy dense, power dense solution. And so it really needs to come from either large-scale nuclear or combined cycles or really looking for that energy trifecta from NET Power. So, that's I think, one of the big focuses for us is we look at just these energy hubs, these origination hubs that we're looking to set up, we're really trying to set up a different areas where we're deploying, call it, 10 to 40 NET Power plants, both to meet the grid need, but also to meet the behind-the-meter need that these data center folks are going to need over the coming decades.
Betty Jiang: That's really great color. Thanks for that. If I have a follow-up just on that. In your conversation with tech companies, are they looking for behind-the-meter solutions or is it tied to the grid?
Danny Rice: I think just the reality of the way data centers need to operate, they need -- like their most important thing, especially for these language learning model data centers, the LLM is they can't have any interruptibility in power. And so reliability is paramount because if you think about going through these language training programs and that can take a couple of weeks, at the end of the first week, if there's an interruption, they have to start all over again. And so just that redundancy and reliability is absolutely critical to their ability to perform the way they need to. The latency isn't as critical as reliability is. But again, because the largest source of expense for these data centers is power consumption, affordability of that power is right up there with a reliability piece. And so there's probably no greater industry that's really impressing need of just the energy trifecta clean, affordable, reliable than the tech folks. I think the challenge that we're all facing is when we look across the spectrum of all potential solutions out there, there's nothing that does all three. You kind of have to create a portfolio where you're having to compromise a bit on affordability. You're having to compromise a bit on reliability. You're having to compromise a little bit on the carbon intensity in order to be able to meet your power needs. And so I think what we're really designing is that thing where there really is no compromise. I think where you're really having to see the adjustment with NET Power is it's a paradigm shift and how are we going to get clean power? Because I think for the last couple of decades, people haven't looked at fossil fuels as being clean. And so this is really where we're changing the paradigm for people is getting them to stop looking at labels, stop looking at the source of the power, start looking at the output, start measuring carbon intensity as the end all be all because at the end of the day, that's all the Mother Nature cares about is what's the carbon intensity you're giving my planet. I don't care about the incoming fuel source to the power plant. I care about the outgoing emissions. And so this is an education process for everybody because I think all of us have been conditioned over the last decade when we think of decarbonization, we think of moving away from fossil fuels. But I think when you introduce a paradigm shifting technology like NET Power all of a sudden, you've transformed natural gas into clean baseload dispatchable burn power, that's affordable. It really starts to make you question what is important? And I think everybody at the end the day agrees that clean, affordable, reliable power is really, really important. And now we're really starting to just change that paradigm of moving away from looking at the sources of the power, the feedstock to really looking at the output of it. So, I know I went on a little bit of a tangent there from the original question, but I think that is really where a lot of the conversation is. It's not so much about the technology, but just more about is it okay to use natural gas as that solution to the world's energy and environmental problem. And I think that's one of the big reasons why we took NET Power public was we needed a platform to be able to communicate to the world that all of a sudden, we now have that silver bullet solution for both energy and the environment in one package. And it's coming from something that's a fossil fuel. And I think we're very proud to say we're able to deliver clean, affordable, valuable power, and we all need to be a little bit more agnostic about the source of the energy and more focused on the output to that energy. And I think as people can start to embrace that, guess what, you open up an entirely new pathway to both reenergize the grid and decarbonize the planet.
Betty Jiang: Thank you. I mean I can't agree with that more. Just carbon intensity should be the NRM. And I think the EPA regulation actually helps a lot to drive that forward by measuring everything, covering intensity. So, thank you very much for that. I have a follow-up just on the Project Permian's next steps. But what needs to be tested with the Air Separation Unit provider before you can finalize that long-term partnership? Just wondering if that's a financial negotiation? Or is it more technical integration, whether it fits well with the rest of the plant? And then separately, can you just talk about what is an open book estimate? Thanks.
Brian Allen: Sure, this is Brian. I'll take that. Yes, it's more of a technical integration at this point. I mean these are large Air Separation Units, so they're not, let's say, directly off the shelf, but we're very focused on not stacking technology risks. So, we are integrating design aspects that have been proven before an ASV providers' past experience. So, it's really more about getting the right technical integration. The commercial model for this and many power plants will be an integrated sale of equipment approach, where flowing through the EPC or through owner will be the purchase of the ASU equipment integrated into the plant. So, in other words, there's not a separate ASU distinguishable from the NET Power plant, it's a standard design that comes together. So, we're really working through those technical integrations that's also integrating into the overall FEED. And then, yes, it's a commercial discussion. We had a lot of interest from industrial gas suppliers in this project because they all know that this first entry sets them up for deployment on future standard plant design. So, first, get the technical right, get the technical fully embedded into the FEED, and we're working through some commercial, but there's really no development aspect of this. As far as the other question, open book estimate means when we work with Zachry, we see all of the costs. So, there is a different approach where you could just have a quoted lump sum price, which is not what we're pursuing. We want to work directly with them on value engineering and understanding where we're driving cost with our cycle design. So, we see all of the costs.
Betty Jiang: Thanks.
Operator: Thank you. In the interest of time, we have one final question from Noel Parks from Tuohy Brothers. Your line is now live.
Noel Parks: Good morning. Just had a couple. I wonder if -- you've covered a lot of really interesting the touches on sort of gas macro and of course, various power approaches for decarbonization. I'm just wondering, do you have any thoughts around whether some of the maybe more expensive, smaller scale, fast delivery solution, I think, for instance, about fuel cells running on natural gas. So, to have attention to kind of, I guess, maybe shut down whatever price sensitivity there is out there and whether that could either be a benefit to you as your plans get closer to going online or whether it sort of is just going to place speed so much as the Paramount concerned that investment in longer but larger projects struggles a little bit. Have any thoughts on a scenario like that?
Danny Rice: Yes. No, it's an interesting one Noel. I think a lot of folks are trying to find ways to be able to just lunge peak pricing by adding battery storage wherever the heck they can by doing fuel cells by having more just natural gas peakers on the system. I think just the challenge is the sheer volume, just load growth demand that we're seeing coming our way is something that I think the power industry was frankly just flat-footed for. And I think the problem just gets compounded a little bit with these new EPA rules, if it really has a chilling effect on people deploying both dispatchable sources of power generation that is demonstrably proven that they can scale really, really quick, like the natural gas generation industry has over the course of the last couple of decades. I just don't think whether it's fuel cells or batteries are going to be able to really do much in the way of really being able to meet the load growth that's kind of coming because this load growth isn't intermittent. This load growth is 24/7, 365. So, you really need to look at energy sources for power generation that can really just mirror that and just match that. And so then you're really looking at things like nuclear and natural gas. And so I think all of these other things will really help around the edges. But I think in terms of actually being able to scale up to deliver 50 to 100 to 500 gigawatts of new baseload generation capacity, you're really going to be looking at natural gas generation-based solutions. And so if it's going to have to be lower carbon intensity natural gas, you're going to be looking at either something like NET Power or are you going to be looking at post-combustion carbon capture. And I think that gets back to like the whole thesis of the NET Power technology in the first place when it was invented back in 2010. And it was just a simple statement of if we really want to eliminate emissions from natural gas power generation, you really need to redesign the power generation cycle because I think the beauty and the power of NET Power is really the simplicity of it, which is the challenge and the cost and the energy that goes into trying to separate the CO2 on the backside of a combined cycle or a simple cycle plant that is very, very expensive because of the nitrogen that you're actually having to process out, because nitrogen is 90% to 95% of that blue gas only up to 10% of it is actual CO2. So, the problem is the CO2, right? I'm sorry, the problem is the CO2, but the root of the problem on being able to capture it is all of that nitrogen. And so the NET Power Cycle, the simplicity of it is do oxy combustion on the front end. It's much easier and simpler and cost effective to separate the nitrogen from the atmosphere from the oxygen. So, the only thing going to that combustion chamber is pure oxygen. And so I think sitting where we are today with where the world wants to go in reducing emissions, where the EPA wants us to go on eliminating emissions from natural gas power generation, a solution like NET Power is exactly what I think people will be focusing on today, knowing what we know now. But the thing with NET Power is we went back 15 years in time and we patented this process. And so we're in this really, really unique position, which is we're really the only ones that can do this at scale. And I think that's why as much as we are hyper-focused on proving this utility scale with Project Permian in 2027, we're really the only ones out there that can do this at this sort of size because of the IP portfolio we've put around this business. And so it's so imperative that we're there to be able to scale up to that first plant comes online in 2028 and beyond. And so yes, it's a really good situation to be in. It's also a scary one just because we're going to be one of the only solutions that can comply and both is what the government wants, but also comply in terms of being able to meet customer demand for just the growing need for baseload reliable clean power. And so we're going to be ready. And it's great that we have a very supportive shareholder group, both the public shareholders who have been super supportive of the company, but also the strategic shareholders that we brought into this public company, Oxy, Baker Hughes, SK, Constellation. I mean we have four of the largest, most well-capitalized, most forward-looking energy companies that really comprise our strategic shareholder group. So, I think the foundation that we've established to be able to scale this company is the foundation that I think our public shareholders want us to have. And so at this point, we're really just in execution to improve the cycle at utility scale, prove this technology creates an entirely new pathway to decarbonize the grid system, and really scale this to meet the world's growing need for baseload clean affordable power.
Operator: Thank you. We've reached the end of our question-and-answer session. I'd like to turn the floor back over for any further or closing comments.
Danny Rice: Hey thank you, everybody, for joining us today. This is really fun. Hopefully, it was informative and hopefully, we'll catch you on the next call in three months. Have a good afternoon.
Operator: Thank you. That does conclude today's teleconference and webcast. You may disconnect your line at this time and have a wonderful day. We thank you for your participation today.
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