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United States 10-Year Bond Yield

NYSE
Currency in USD
Disclaimer
4.305
+0.020(+0.47%)
Delayed Data

United States 10-Year Discussions

We broke initial support at ~4.3 next up ~4.18. The market celebrated the lower than expected job creation in the ADP while seeming to ignore the wage info. Job stayers wages up 5% y/y job changers up 7.8% y/y. The wage numbers could continue to feed inflation.
Nickel was on sale today
10yr Yield 4.278, down 5 bp to rest on its 52-week simple moving average.
holy poo people are actually thinking of rate cuts before election? 🤡🤡
Just one
It is a fake decreaase. It will come back to 5
The great yield crash has begun . Bond bears aren't prepared for this and will get skinned alive
PMI is solid and still growing. that's all we need to know then bottom is in. uppy we gooo
Second largest Copper mine in canada has closed as worker strikes. Go Copper.
Garage sale for commodities.
i wonder what happen when people stop buying US Bond and put into US stocks and the market collapse 🤣
The only group of people that deserve to lose money more than the bears here are the risk-on hopium fiends that still think lower rates are bullish.
1
I wonder if the reason bonds are being bought is due to (at least in part) the risk of the Russia/Ukraine conflict escalating into something bigger.
US economy is going to dive , and they still bets for rate cuts , so the can pump stocks. i wonder what value of that stocks when US default 🤣
But if they do keep printing, the real value long dated treasury bonds go down. People will stop buying them at nominal rates. This has never worked in the a long history of macroeconomic empire collapses.
Never said it was a good thing. It’s incredibly inflationary…completely false that “people will stop buying them”. 2/3 of all invested funds are in Bonds. Stocks get all the air time but a a paltry 1/3 of invested funds. High net worth individuals, institutions etc will continue to invest in what viewed as the most stable country. Think globally not domestically.
Brazil is currently at 11.76% for their 30 year. People do but it. Risk vs. reward. This notion I continue to see that “people won’t buy it” is simply ignorance of the global bond market.
and the Fed can't lower rates this year because of the election. Hope data doesn't slow because we have no tools in the toolbox!
If you followed the bond market for any length of time, you’d know that’s nonsense. https://am.jpmorgan.com/us/en/asset-management/adv/insights/market-insights/market-updates/on-the-minds-of-investors/what-has-the-fed-done-in-election-years/#:~:text=Since%201980%2C%20the%20Fed%20has,hiked%20in%20five%20election%20years.
going back sub 3.70
4.3x this week then up
we going beow 4.00
How do you know that
hot data this week. Why go down?!? rigged!
Today's manufacturing data, tBill auction. JOLTS and Redbook tomorrow with lower yo/y forecast.
Bears, short Nvdia or maybe gold. This is a COOKED trade
uuurahhh
Buy opportunity for silver soon
I have silver and bought some uranium as well, Bitcoin is still a strong buy
Yes I'm holding uranium also
Claims uptick. Discounts are inevitable
I think you buy bonds because the stock market and commodities will be subdued. Rates definitely won't go higher in the scenario outlined below.
The fed's goals are dominantly inflation focused. Powell warns of painful demand based inflation pullback. GDP and PMIs confirm production fallout. Employment numbers will further confirm an increased economic slowdown.
wow democrats trying to get those rate cuts before election. Don't worry we have plenty of sellers to keep this from falling
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